NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	3.2 [1109]		MVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): +10.7%
Houston Rockets	114		Comeback	1.0 [564]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -5.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Oakley	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	12	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Dell Curry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	69%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tracy Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	21	48%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	59%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	12	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Alvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.01	-0.04	13	75%	0.18	4	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	16	68%	0.11	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	90%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	77%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	11	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	17%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	7	55%	0.01	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.6	30.2	20.4	25.2	2.8	31.0	136.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +46.5%

HOU +15.9%

HOU +0.5%

TOR -13.1%

HOU +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	HOU	NBA	TOR	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	17.0	15.5	108.8	123.9	100.9
season	15.8	16.3		103.7	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.4		102.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	15.8	15.5	11.8	14.5
HOU	14.8	17.0	17.9	18.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-18	21	11.8	15.5	-3.69	18.2	16.5	1.69
Dell Curry	31	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.29	9	-24	33	12.3	15.6	-3.31	17.5	16.6	0.88
Keon Clark	43	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-15	15	12.5	16.3	-3.74	17.3	16.6	0.65
Alvin Williams	43	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-17	19	13.3	15.6	-2.33	17.5	16.5	0.95
Tracy Murray	31	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-15	15	11.6	16.0	-4.34	16.8	17.1	-0.31
Morris Peterson	60	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	0	-15	16.0	11.6	4.34	17.1	16.8	0.31
Antonio Davis	60	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.00	-12	-3	-9	15.5	12.5	2.97	16.4	18.0	-1.60
Mark Jackson	48	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	2	-19	15.6	13.3	2.33	16.5	17.5	-0.95
Charles Oakley	52	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	5	-25	15.7	12.9	2.77	16.6	17.4	-0.79
Vince Carter	63	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.22	-25	10	-35	16.0	11.1	4.91	16.8	17.4	-0.62

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	61	60	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.13	23	-8	31	17.2	16.5	0.66	15.7	12.2	3.56
Cuttino Mobley	68	69	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.35	30	-15	45	16.4	18.5	-2.03	15.4	11.5	3.90
Steve Francis	64	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	4	7	16.9	17.2	-0.32	15.4	12.3	3.14
Shandon Anderson	46	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	8	-1	16.7	17.2	-0.43	16.0	13.0	3.00
Maurice Taylor	57	59	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.16	14	1	13	16.1	18.3	-2.15	15.3	13.0	2.37
Moochie Norris	36	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	10	-5	17.7	16.5	1.17	13.4	15.2	-1.80
Walt Williams	53	50	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.06	3	12	-9	16.8	17.2	-0.43	13.0	16.3	-3.34
Matt Bullard	52	49	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.05	3	12	-9	16.5	17.5	-0.96	12.7	16.7	-4.01
Dan Langhi	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.32	-10	25	-35	20.8	16.3	4.44	10.6	15.1	-4.52
Jason Collier	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	26	-37	21.1	16.5	4.65	7.6	15.3	-7.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, MIL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DAL 82, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NJN 77, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%