NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	113		Excitement	3.7 [1094]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +26.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	122		Comeback	1.0 [1086]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -15.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	65%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.08	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	15	56%	0.10	6	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Dante Exum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	5	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Georges Niang	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.04	8	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Joe Ingles	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Ricky Rubio	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.00	13	38%	-0.05	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.28	0.01	0.03	10	97%	0.31	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.02
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.02	0.07	13	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	17	61%	0.05	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	7	57%	0.02	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deonte Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.23	0.00	-0.07	18	27%	-0.11	4	-0.05	8	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	29.6	13.8	30.6	2.6	30.2	135.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +22.9%

OKC +6.0%

OKC +7.0%

OKC +12.3%

OKC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	14.0	12.7	14.3	104.6	113.0	109.3
season	14.3	12.9		109.3	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.3		106.4	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.5	14.6	15.7	11.3	14.0
OKC	12.7	12.5	11.0	14.4	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	38	39	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.47	17	-26	43	11.1	15.6	-4.55	13.8	12.0	1.73
Dante Exum	21	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.47	16	-25	41	11.1	14.7	-3.55	15.1	12.1	2.99
Ekpe Udoh	21	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.47	16	-25	41	11.1	14.7	-3.55	15.1	12.1	2.99
Georges Niang	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-18	27	11.7	14.3	-2.63	15.5	12.2	3.26
Royce O'Neale	40	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	13.1	14.5	-1.39	12.9	12.5	0.45
Joe Ingles	55	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-2	-5	15.4	12.6	2.78	12.7	12.6	0.11
Raul Neto	47	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-9	9	14.7	13.5	1.21	11.5	13.6	-2.11
Derrick Favors	61	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.15	-14	5	-19	14.4	13.4	1.02	12.9	12.4	0.51
Kyle Korver	42	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-8	7	13.9	14.1	-0.23	11.7	13.3	-1.56
Ricky Rubio	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.25	-18	9	-27	14.5	13.6	0.90	13.8	11.8	2.02
Donovan Mitchell	60	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.26	-21	12	-33	14.3	13.6	0.79	12.0	13.6	-1.64
Jae Crowder	46	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.27	-22	13	-35	15.1	13.2	1.93	10.4	14.3	-3.89
Rudy Gobert	47	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	8	-25	15.6	12.8	2.83	12.2	13.0	-0.80

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	64	64	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.22	22	-13	35	12.3	13.1	-0.79	15.4	12.0	3.38
Russell Westbrook	78	79	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-6	21	12.6	12.8	-0.14	14.9	11.7	3.21
Dennis Schroder	70	69	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	11.5	14.7	-3.19	14.2	13.6	0.68
Steven Adams	63	64	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	-10	29	12.8	12.4	0.38	15.1	12.3	2.80
Paul George	66	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	-8	25	12.2	13.4	-1.17	15.1	12.3	2.73
Hamidou Diallo	25	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	8	-7	11.8	12.9	-1.18	12.9	14.4	-1.47
Terrance Ferguson	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	4	1	14.6	11.8	2.79	14.9	13.6	1.29
Nerlens Noel	45	44	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.42	-10	19	-29	12.4	12.8	-0.38	12.3	15.1	-2.80
Alex Abrines	46	45	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.47	-12	21	-33	13.0	12.4	0.54	12.0	15.4	-3.47
Patrick Patterson	44	44	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.46	-13	22	-35	13.1	12.3	0.79	12.0	15.4	-3.38
Abdel Nader	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	22.0	12.4	9.60	5.7	14.2	-8.57
Deonte Burton	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	14	-19	22.0	12.4	9.60	4.2	14.4	-10.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, HOU 114	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DET 86, MIL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DAL 72, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%