NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	4.0 [1017]		MVP	Nene (DEN): +14.4%
Denver Nuggets	117		Comeback	1.0 [1170]		LVP	Anthony Carter (DEN): -9.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	71%	0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.07	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	46%	0.00	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Jarron Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	17	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	14	48%	0.02	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	12	43%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	53%	-0.01	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.24	-0.00	0.09	12	90%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.00	0.01	14	69%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	18	46%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	13	58%	0.07	3	-0.04	12	83%	0.02
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	9	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.17	-0.00	-0.08	9	19%	-0.04	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	1.7	27.5	15.0	32.5	1.7	33.5	140.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +39.9%

UTA -4.2%

UTA -1.3%

DEN +13.1%

DEN +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.0	15.5	97.0	115.8	106.4
season	15.3	14.4		107.7	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.0		105.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.1	16.1	14.0	14.4	14.6
DEN	13.1	15.2	12.6	15.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrylo Fesenko	29	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-20	20	16.7	13.8	2.96	14.4	13.9	0.47
Jarron Collins	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	9.1	15.2	-6.05	15.0	13.9	1.07
Kosta Koufos	25	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-20	20	12.1	15.5	-3.33	14.0	14.1	-0.05
Kyle Korver	48	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-23	26	14.9	14.4	0.49	15.5	12.8	2.70
Matt Harpring	36	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-22	24	14.3	14.8	-0.49	14.6	13.7	0.90
Brevin Knight	26	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-11	2	14.2	14.8	-0.53	13.6	14.2	-0.61
Ronnie Price	31	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-9	-2	14.2	14.8	-0.66	12.9	14.6	-1.68
CJ Miles	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-11	2	13.7	15.1	-1.40	14.0	14.0	-0.02
Deron Williams	74	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-9	-2	14.8	14.2	0.53	14.2	13.6	0.61
Ronnie Brewer	49	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.30	-25	5	-30	15.6	13.7	1.83	13.0	15.0	-1.98
Paul Millsap	62	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.25	-24	4	-28	15.1	13.8	1.38	13.6	14.7	-1.09
Mehmet Okur	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	-1	-18	14.9	13.9	0.99	14.1	13.7	0.41

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	64	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	5	10	12.9	16.0	-3.05	14.7	14.5	0.25
Anthony Carter	73	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	5	10	14.2	13.6	0.55	14.0	16.2	-2.19
J.R. Smith	60	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	5	10	14.2	13.8	0.40	16.1	12.1	4.01
Chauncey Billups	67	67	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.04	13	7	6	13.4	15.2	-1.80	14.7	14.5	0.16
Linas Kleiza	60	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	7	6	14.4	13.5	0.97	14.3	15.0	-0.74
Nene	66	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	6	8	14.5	13.1	1.37	15.5	12.9	2.59
Chris Andersen	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	10	0	15.0	13.3	1.67	15.1	14.3	0.83
Dahntay Jones	33	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	13	-6	13.5	14.3	-0.78	15.2	14.3	0.88
Johan Petro	15	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	14.3	14.0	0.27	11.4	15.1	-3.72
Sonny Weems	12	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	14.4	14.0	0.43	9.8	15.2	-5.36
Renaldo Balkman	12	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	14.4	14.0	0.43	9.8	15.2	-5.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, SAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
LAC 92, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
LAC 93, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%