NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	105		Excitement	6.9 [422]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +13.6%
Dallas Mavericks	115		Comeback	17.7 [158]		LVP	Brent Barry (SEA): -13.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	11	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.03
Gary Payton	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	13	62%	0.09	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Ansu Sesay	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.01	14	59%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	10	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.02
Brent Barry	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	13	44%	-0.08	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.14	0.03	19	57%	0.20	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.01	21	56%	0.15	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.05
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.02	0.02	12	69%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	28	48%	0.12	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Adam Harrington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	5	31%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	1.7	27.2	16.4	23.4	1.8	33.2	133.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.2%

DAL +8.3%

SEA -13.4%

DAL +18.5%

DAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	15.5	109.4	122.3	101.6
season	16.5	15.1		101.7	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		102.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.6	15.4	14.9	17.5	15.6
DAL	16.0	14.6	15.8	12.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	24	24	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-18	26	16.7	15.2	1.44	16.5	14.1	2.44
Predrag Drobnjak	55	54	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.22	11	-21	32	15.6	15.6	0.04	15.3	14.0	1.30
Ansu Sesay	12	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	-3	-4	15.7	15.6	0.10	12.5	15.0	-2.49
Kenny Anderson	25	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.12	-10	0	-10	15.2	15.7	-0.52	13.8	15.1	-1.26
Brent Barry	84	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-10	10	15.3	17.3	-2.00	14.8	14.2	0.64
Rashard Lewis	60	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	2	-14	15.2	16.2	-0.93	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Gary Payton	83	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.23	-10	0	-10	16.0	13.2	2.72	14.9	13.5	1.46
Desmond Mason	82	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	5	-20	15.5	16.1	-0.57	14.5	15.9	-1.44
Vladimir Radmanovic	55	55	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.23	-15	5	-20	15.6	15.6	-0.00	14.2	15.5	-1.35

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	64	65	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.11	26	-16	42	13.5	17.3	-3.74	15.8	15.2	0.62
Eduardo Najera	53	53	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.34	10	0	10	15.0	14.4	0.59	16.2	14.8	1.35
Dirk Nowitzki	86	88	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.12	17	-7	24	14.7	15.4	-0.71	15.9	12.4	3.50
Steve Nash	79	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	4	2	14.7	14.7	-0.01	15.8	14.7	1.08
Michael Finley	91	92	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	5	0	14.8	13.7	1.09	15.7	14.0	1.65
Avery Johnson	26	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.15	7	3	4	14.8	14.7	0.06	15.1	15.8	-0.61
Raja Bell	1	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	1.0	14.9	-13.87	11.3	15.7	-4.39
Adam Harrington	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	0.0	14.7	-14.72	5.0	15.7	-10.69
Shawn Bradley	23	23	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	17	-24	16.3	14.2	2.04	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Adrian Griffin	47	48	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	23	-36	15.6	13.8	1.79	14.7	16.5	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.47,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, TOR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.57,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.61,0.62,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	91.5%
TOR 108, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.95,1	91.2%
SAC 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	90.9%