NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	3.8 [1018]		MVP	Tremaine Fowlkes (LAC): +5.6%
Golden State Warriors	89		Comeback	1.4 [422]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -12.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.02	0.03	19	60%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.09	12	55%	0.07	4	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	7	45%	-0.01	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	15	47%	0.00	4	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	68%	0.00	2	-0.03	10	80%	-0.02
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dean Oliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	6	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	50%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	13	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	21	47%	-0.09	1	-0.00	13	62%	-0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.18	-0.01	-0.06	8	20%	-0.08	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.5	15.6	23.3	2.6	34.4	128.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +48.7%

LAC +4.7%

GSW -8.7%

LAC +1.5%

LAC +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	13.9	15.5	98.0	88.1	101.6
season	15.4	14.6		100.2	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.3	15.3	13.5	15.5	14.7
GSW	14.0	16.7	14.7	10.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	95	96	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-2	14	14.4	18.7	-4.26	13.9	13.6	0.26
Eric Piatkowski	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	-5	20	14.6	14.7	-0.08	14.3	12.6	1.72
Corey Maggette	79	81	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	1	8	14.3	16.1	-1.88	13.5	15.2	-1.68
Elton Brand	84	83	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	7	-4	14.5	15.6	-1.11	13.1	17.4	-4.30
Andre Miller	76	78	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	5	0	14.4	15.6	-1.19	13.3	15.6	-2.22
Keyon Dooling	40	38	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	11	-12	15.1	14.4	0.68	12.7	14.5	-1.79
Marko Jaric	20	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	6	-2	15.1	14.5	0.61	16.5	13.2	3.23
Tremaine Fowlkes	21	22	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	5	0	17.3	14.0	3.31	16.2	13.2	3.04
Sean Rooks	14	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	12	-14	15.7	14.5	1.22	16.9	13.4	3.48

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	32	34	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.31	11	-21	32	11.7	14.9	-3.17	14.7	14.7	0.02
Oscar Torres	16	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-11	12	13.3	14.0	-0.64	13.8	14.8	-1.01
A.J. Guyton	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-9	8	18.3	13.1	5.15	15.1	14.6	0.55
Jiri Welsch	27	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.32	8	-18	26	9.0	15.6	-6.57	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Dean Oliver	29	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-14	18	10.1	15.3	-5.21	13.9	15.0	-1.13
Mike Dunleavy	58	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-13	16	13.2	14.7	-1.55	15.3	13.7	1.62
Gilbert Arenas	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	1	-12	14.9	12.7	2.25	15.0	14.3	0.72
Troy Murphy	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	3	-16	14.8	12.5	2.29	14.1	15.3	-1.20
Jason Richardson	55	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.13	-19	9	-28	16.1	11.1	5.00	15.0	14.3	0.75
Erick Dampier	69	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	11	-32	14.9	11.7	3.17	14.7	14.7	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	95	95	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	2	-14	13.7	16.5	-2.82	14.6	15.3	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.16,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 108, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
SAS 108, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
IND 105, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%