inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Jersey Nets 93 Excitement6.2 [550] MVPLucious Harris (NJN): +4.8%
Miami Heat 84 Comeback2.2 [775] LVPRodney Rogers (NJN): -9.3%


New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lucious Harris0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.030.01764%0.0500.00875%-0.01
Anthony Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.002100%0.062-0.052100%0.01
Kerry Kittles0.010,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.00-0.00-0.01950%0.0100.00450%-0.00
Jason Kidd0.000,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0,0,00.05-0.020.032559%0.093-0.086100%0.03
Brian Scalabrine-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00542%-0.0200.00250%-0.02
Aaron Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01425%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.02631%-0.0600.00475%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.04850%0.024-0.09875%0.02
Rodney Rogers-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.03-0.04923%-0.0900.00475%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.020.02-0.04-0.00-0.06837%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02437%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.001264%0.083-0.10475%0.00
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0000%-0.0400.0020%-0.04
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.03-0.060.021070%0.063-0.11367%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.000.00643%-0.012-0.052100%0.02
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.011035%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.00737%-0.022-0.0620%-0.04
Anthony Carter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01633%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.040.011942%-0.0900.00560%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.61.728.115.429.52.333.4136.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA -11.1%
NJN +31.4%
NJN +10.1%
NJN +15.8%
NJN +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNJNMIANBANJNMIANBA
this game15.615.215.5101.188.4101.6
season15.016.3101.194.6
opponent15.915.9100.796.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NJN15.516.613.616.815.6
MIA15.816.914.114.515.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kidd75760.60-0.100.710.1416-72314.918.6-3.7714.816.9-2.08
Lucious Harris58590.56-0.060.620.2411-21315.815.30.4915.215.4-0.21
Richard Jefferson66690.400.100.300.1490915.017.1-2.0915.215.4-0.21
Dikembe Mutombo56570.280.220.060.1063314.916.6-1.7014.716.1-1.37
Kerry Kittles54560.250.25-0.000.0763315.016.3-1.3114.815.8-1.04
Aaron Williams36380.220.28-0.060.1336-316.614.91.7016.114.71.37
Rodney Rogers58610.160.34-0.180.25-312-1516.214.61.5715.115.5-0.46
Kenyon Martin33320.110.39-0.270.0336-315.815.50.2817.014.32.71
Brian Scalabrine780.020.48-0.46-0.0118-718.115.42.7813.415.4-2.03
Anthony Johnson1719-0.100.60-0.710.10-716-2318.614.93.7716.914.82.08

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie House17160.02-0.520.55-0.001-101117.014.82.1514.715.7-1.00
Brian Grant7774-0.18-0.320.15-0.12-2-7514.717.5-2.8015.316.6-1.22
Vladimir Stepania1616-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-5117.914.73.1816.715.31.42
Anthony Carter4545-0.19-0.310.110.07-90-915.814.71.0814.416.7-2.39
Rasual Butler3029-0.20-0.300.09-0.18-1-8715.315.20.1016.815.01.78
LaPhonso Ellis2727-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.15-5-4-116.914.62.3716.415.21.12
Travis Best5047-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.310-9914.715.8-1.0816.714.42.39
Caron Butler7573-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.12-7-2-514.517.9-3.3815.615.50.13
Malik Allen6663-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-6-3-314.916.1-1.2115.415.9-0.42
Eddie Jones7270-0.510.01-0.51-0.15-123-1515.215.3-0.1015.017.3-2.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 102, MIN 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,094.1%
ATL 106, SAC 990.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.04,093.7%
LAC 93, CHI 800.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,093.6%