NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	5.5 [728]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (CHI): +17.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Comeback	2.4 [603]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -26.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.07	0.03	7	79%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Kirk Hinrich	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	-0.00	9	89%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	-0.00	-0.08	14	72%	0.19	5	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	11	58%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	14	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.18	-0.08	-0.00	13	23%	-0.15	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	73%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	14	47%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	8	47%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Othyus Jeffers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.00	6	54%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	20	41%	-0.01	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	7	56%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	26.4	15.5	23.4	1.8	26.2	117.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +57.4%

MIN -11.8%

CHI +0.8%

CHI +6.4%

MIN -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	17.1	15.0	15.1	114.6	95.6	105.2
season	16.3	14.6		101.1	107.3
opponent	14.5	15.3		104.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	17.9	17.9	17.1	17.1
MIN	14.6	15.6	14.9	15.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	71	73	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.04	17	-2	19	16.8	17.9	-1.11	15.5	12.7	2.80
Joakim Noah	74	78	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	0	15	17.1	16.9	0.23	14.8	15.8	-1.03
Jimmy Butler	85	87	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	4	7	17.0	17.5	-0.46	15.0	14.7	0.23
Kirk Hinrich	48	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	1	13	16.8	17.4	-0.62	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Carlos Boozer	45	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	4	7	16.6	17.5	-0.83	14.9	15.0	-0.11
D.J. Augustin	55	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	10	-5	17.1	16.9	0.23	14.7	15.4	-0.74
Taj Gibson	51	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	9	-3	17.3	16.8	0.47	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Tony Snell	8	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	17	-19	20.4	16.7	3.65	13.4	15.1	-1.67
Nazr Mohammed	8	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	17	-19	17.7	17.0	0.76	19.9	14.6	5.30

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othyus Jeffers	21	20	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-22	29	14.1	15.2	-1.13	18.8	16.6	2.25
Alexey Shved	29	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-15	15	15.4	14.8	0.66	18.0	16.6	1.41
Ronny Turiaf	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-12	9	16.1	14.4	1.69	17.7	16.7	1.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	39	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-12	9	15.2	14.8	0.33	17.7	16.6	1.15
Dante Cunningham	30	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-11	7	15.5	14.7	0.84	16.9	17.1	-0.24
Kevin Love	61	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-4	-7	14.7	15.5	-0.84	17.1	16.9	0.24
Gorgui Dieng	61	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-3	-9	14.4	16.1	-1.69	16.7	17.7	-1.02
Ricky Rubio	62	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	0	-15	14.8	15.4	-0.66	16.6	18.0	-1.41
Corey Brewer	62	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	0	-15	14.8	15.3	-0.45	16.4	18.6	-2.15
Robbie Hummel	60	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.03	-19	4	-23	15.3	14.3	0.98	16.7	17.7	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 117, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
LAC 93, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.4%
MIL 90, PHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%