NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	4.8 [830]		MVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): +12.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	101		Comeback	1.5 [471]		LVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): -12.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	12	64%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0.05	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	13	64%	0.12	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Oliver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	26	60%	0.08	4	-0.09	10	90%	0.03
Jiri Welsch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	9	25%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.04	0.05	14	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	20	51%	-0.03	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	12	28%	-0.10	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	0.04	16	46%	-0.10	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.3	29.6	15.4	26.4	2.4	34.5	132.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +40.1%

MEM -1.7%

GSW +18.5%

MEM -10.1%

GSW +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	17.0	13.6	15.5	113.7	108.6	101.6
season	14.6	15.3		105.3	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	18.8	17.2	15.9	16.2	17.0
MEM	13.0	12.8	16.9	12.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	81	79	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	-4	15	17.7	13.0	4.68	14.2	10.4	3.83
Antawn Jamison	94	91	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	0	7	17.0	14.0	3.02	13.5	20.0	-6.53
Troy Murphy	43	43	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.42	-3	10	-13	17.3	16.7	0.66	14.0	13.3	0.76
Jiri Welsch	34	35	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	-4	15	16.3	17.4	-1.13	15.0	12.8	2.18
Jason Richardson	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.40	-6	13	-19	17.4	16.7	0.70	13.5	13.7	-0.23
Gilbert Arenas	72	70	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	7	-7	17.6	15.2	2.34	12.7	16.3	-3.63
Danny Fortson	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	5	-3	17.1	16.9	0.20	13.0	13.8	-0.72
Adonal Foyle	40	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	3	1	17.4	16.7	0.80	13.3	13.8	-0.55
Mike Dunleavy	19	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	6	-5	17.3	16.9	0.34	11.4	14.1	-2.69
Dean Oliver	7	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	8	-9	1.4	18.2	-16.80	7.2	14.1	-6.89

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.18	-7	0	-7	14.6	13.3	1.27	16.4	17.2	-0.73
Earl Watson	38	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.23	5	-12	17	12.7	14.3	-1.61	15.6	17.9	-2.39
Mike Batiste	36	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	1	-9	14.2	13.2	0.99	17.0	17.0	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	52	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	15.0	11.8	3.19	17.9	15.8	2.04
Pau Gasol	82	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-12	17	13.5	14.7	-1.26	17.4	14.6	2.75
Shane Battier	36	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	5	-17	14.2	13.2	0.95	16.4	17.4	-0.90
Jason Williams	75	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.47	2	-9	11	13.2	15.4	-2.20	17.2	16.1	1.06
Drew Gooden	63	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	13.0	14.9	-1.95	17.6	15.7	1.84
Gordan Giricek	60	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	3	-13	13.3	14.2	-0.83	16.3	18.3	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, NOH 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
IND 97, BOS 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAS 127, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%