NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	3.8 [1097]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +8.5%
New Orleans Hornets	80		Comeback	1.3 [1004]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -13.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	10	58%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	16	57%	0.15	4	-0.08	10	100%	0.05
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	53%	0.05	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	5	80%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.04	13	64%	0.07	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	13	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.03	0.04	9	53%	-0.03	5	-0.10	1	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	3.4	27.4	18.4	28.4	3.5	38.2	144.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +23.6%

LAL +2.9%

LAL +17.4%

LAL +6.5%

NOH -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOH	NBA	LAL	NOH	NBA
this game	17.7	15.8	15.5	112.6	94.1	105.7
season	15.9	16.2		108.8	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.2	17.0	16.8	19.8	17.7
NOH	15.5	18.2	15.2	14.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	62	61	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	3	12	17.5	18.2	-0.71	15.6	16.4	-0.78
Metta World Peace	55	52	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	0	18	17.1	18.6	-1.48	16.1	15.3	0.83
Kobe Bryant	55	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	3	12	17.5	18.0	-0.50	15.9	15.7	0.17
Pau Gasol	64	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	8	2	17.4	18.4	-1.06	15.3	17.0	-1.66
Andrew Bynum	52	52	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.11	14	4	10	18.2	16.9	1.34	15.9	15.6	0.29
Lamar Odom	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	7	4	17.4	18.1	-0.69	16.3	14.8	1.49
Joe Smith	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	19.5	17.6	1.89	10.0	15.9	-5.88
Trey Johnson	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	19.5	17.6	1.89	10.0	15.9	-5.88
Matt Barnes	32	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	18	-18	18.6	17.1	1.48	15.3	16.1	-0.83
Shannon Brown	32	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.10	3	15	-12	18.0	17.5	0.50	15.7	15.9	-0.17
Steve Blake	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.09	2	16	-14	18.0	17.5	0.53	16.7	15.5	1.15

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing Jr.	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	10.0	15.9	-5.88	19.5	17.6	1.89
Quincy Pondexter	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	10.0	15.9	-5.88	19.5	17.6	1.89
Jason Smith	23	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-14	10	14.9	16.2	-1.29	17.7	17.7	-0.00
Aaron Gray	13	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-13	8	19.0	15.2	3.76	16.9	17.8	-0.86
Jarrett Jack	24	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.00	-4	-14	10	17.1	15.3	1.83	17.8	17.6	0.26
DJ Mbenga	12	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-11	4	14.7	16.0	-1.33	19.4	17.4	2.03
Willie Green	31	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	-9	0	16.0	15.7	0.30	16.9	18.1	-1.12
Emeka Okafor	56	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-12	6	15.7	16.1	-0.44	17.8	17.4	0.44
Marco Belinelli	49	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-13	8	14.4	17.7	-3.22	17.8	17.4	0.45
Carl Landry	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	-4	-10	16.2	14.9	1.29	17.4	18.4	-0.99
Trevor Ariza	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	-1	-16	16.0	14.4	1.60	17.6	17.9	-0.29
Chris Paul	78	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.02	-17	-1	-16	15.9	14.7	1.20	17.6	17.8	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 133, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
UTA 77, NOH 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
GSW 108, MEM 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%