NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	82		Excitement	5.6 [673]		MVP	Metta World Peace (IND): +7.2%
Indiana Pacers	91		Comeback	1.5 [701]		LVP	Eddie Griffin (HOU): -16.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	21	51%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	8	39%	-0.05	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	28	56%	0.04	5	-0.14	14	86%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.19	-0.03	-0.05	11	8%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	13	67%	0.13	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	16	59%	0.10	3	-0.08	9	44%	-0.03
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	15	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	7	33%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	37%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	17	46%	-0.05	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.7	27.2	15.8	29.7	2.8	33.5	134.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +30.6%

HOU -2.5%

IND +15.1%

IND +7.5%

HOU -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	15.5	85.4	95.8	101.6
season	16.3	15.4		101.7	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.2	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	15.5	14.9	15.8	15.2
IND	12.3	14.5	13.9	20.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	24	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-10	11	15.8	15.0	0.79	14.5	15.1	-0.58
Juaquin Hawkins	41	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-13	17	14.8	15.6	-0.80	17.0	13.5	3.43
Jason Collier	21	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-3	-3	16.0	15.0	1.03	12.8	15.4	-2.57
Yao Ming	20	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-3	-3	17.7	14.6	3.17	16.3	14.6	1.75
Kelvin Cato	63	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-10	11	14.2	17.2	-2.96	15.2	14.4	0.75
Steve Francis	81	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-6	3	14.4	19.5	-5.09	14.5	17.4	-2.95
Moochie Norris	72	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	4	-17	16.0	12.8	3.21	14.6	16.0	-1.37
Eddie Griffin	71	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	1	-11	15.2	15.4	-0.22	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Cuttino Mobley	87	86	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	4	-17	15.4	13.9	1.49	14.8	15.6	-0.71

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Mercer	72	74	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.18	13	-4	17	15.3	13.7	1.61	15.8	13.2	2.61
Erick Strickland	82	83	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-2	13	14.7	16.5	-1.88	15.4	14.2	1.26
Jermaine O'Neal	81	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-2	13	14.9	14.9	-0.01	15.4	14.4	1.00
Metta World Peace	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	3	3	14.8	15.3	-0.45	14.8	17.1	-2.24
Al Harrington	57	56	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	6	-3	15.0	14.7	0.30	14.4	16.4	-1.99
Jeff Foster	22	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	7	-5	15.9	14.6	1.29	15.7	15.1	0.66
Jonathan Bender	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	8	-7	15.0	14.9	0.17	16.1	14.9	1.22
Fred Jones	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	9	-9	15.7	14.8	0.90	14.1	15.4	-1.34
Brad Miller	43	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	11	-13	13.9	15.7	-1.80	15.0	15.5	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 84, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.9%
POR 107, LAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NOP 93, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.95,1,1,1	94.4%