NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	6.1 [563]		MVP	Walt Williams (POR): +12.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	121		Comeback	1.7 [910]		LVP	Rick Brunson (POR): -8.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	9	89%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	14	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	14	57%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Rider	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	21	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	9	55%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.03	0.03	11	73%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.02	12	69%	0.15	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.05
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	8	48%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.01	10	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Bennett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shea Seals	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	24	53%	0.05	4	-0.09	14	50%	-0.05
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	4	61%	0.03	4	-0.10	10	90%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	1.6	25.2	16.6	28.4	3.3	31.6	136.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +7.4%

LAL +25.6%

LAL +20.0%

POR -6.3%

LAL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.7	15.6	112.6	133.0	102.5
season	15.9	14.8		101.9	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.5	13.9	14.0	15.6	15.2
LAL	14.5	14.9	17.3	16.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	42	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-14	14	12.7	17.3	-4.60	15.2	16.2	-0.93
Arvydas Sabonis	56	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-16	18	14.8	15.8	-1.00	16.7	14.1	2.55
Jermaine O'Neal	35	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-12	10	16.6	14.4	2.17	16.3	15.4	0.92
Rick Brunson	55	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-10	6	15.9	14.3	1.57	15.8	15.7	0.05
Walt Williams	40	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-8	2	15.2	15.2	-0.01	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Kelvin Cato	21	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-3	-8	14.4	15.5	-1.03	11.4	16.8	-5.40
Brian Grant	41	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	-4	-6	14.2	16.0	-1.82	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Gary Grant	44	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-6	-2	13.7	16.5	-2.76	15.4	16.0	-0.61
Isaiah Rider	72	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-2	-10	15.9	13.0	2.89	16.3	14.0	2.33
Rasheed Wallace	69	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	5	-24	17.0	10.6	6.41	16.1	14.9	1.20

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	80	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	3	8	16.0	13.9	2.09	15.4	13.7	1.70
Robert Horry	57	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	0	14	17.0	13.6	3.45	16.0	13.9	2.13
Eddie Jones	68	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	0	14	15.9	15.3	0.59	16.5	11.8	4.77
Rick Fox	74	75	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	2	10	15.4	17.2	-1.83	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Shaquille O'Neal	71	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	3	8	15.9	15.2	0.70	16.4	11.6	4.78
Kobe Bryant	39	41	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	3	8	15.6	15.8	-0.23	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Elden Campbell	45	46	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	13	-12	15.7	15.8	-0.16	14.0	16.4	-2.43
Sean Rooks	11	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	12	-10	12.6	16.2	-3.54	12.8	15.6	-2.76
Jon Barry	4	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	11.5	15.9	-4.44	9.3	15.6	-6.30
Mario Bennett	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	11.5	15.9	-4.44	6.8	15.7	-8.90
Shea Seals	2	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	9.5	15.9	-6.39	8.0	15.5	-7.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 79, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1	94.7%
HOU 82, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
SAC 103, LAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.83,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%