NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	93		Excitement	5.0 [796]		MVP	Norris Cole (NOP): +16.2%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	1.6 [1039]		LVP	Omer Asik (NOP): -10.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norris Cole	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.02	-0.02	12	73%	0.16	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Alexis Ajinca	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	0.03	15	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.06	0.05	14	53%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	6	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.14	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	9	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	13	52%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.02	-0.06	19	48%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	15	63%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bernard James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	27.2	15.8	27.5	2.7	28.3	128.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +13.6%

DAL +12.7%

DAL +4.3%

DAL +14.3%

DAL +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DAL	NBA	NOP	DAL	NBA
this game	17.2	16.3	15.1	109.4	117.2	104.2
season	15.8	14.6		106.3	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.0	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.6	18.0	19.0	15.0	17.2
DAL	16.9	14.7	16.1	17.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	44	48	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.26	10	-19	29	16.2	18.3	-2.11	16.2	16.4	-0.16
Jimmer Fredette	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-8	7	16.6	17.2	-0.61	12.6	16.7	-4.07
Norris Cole	66	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-13	17	16.1	21.0	-4.92	16.0	17.3	-1.27
Luke Babbitt	25	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-5	1	17.1	17.2	-0.08	14.8	16.9	-2.11
Dante Cunningham	61	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-5	1	17.1	17.5	-0.39	16.1	17.0	-0.90
Tyreke Evans	60	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	17.8	15.6	2.18	17.0	14.6	2.34
Quincy Pondexter	48	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.07	-15	6	-21	18.6	15.4	3.18	15.9	16.9	-1.06
Eric Gordon	64	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	2	-13	17.0	17.8	-0.84	17.0	14.1	2.89
Omer Asik	49	47	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	7	-23	18.0	16.1	1.85	17.2	15.2	1.98

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bernard James	45	44	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.03	23	-14	37	16.3	16.3	-0.02	18.4	15.8	2.60
Dirk Nowitzki	59	56	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-6	21	15.8	17.4	-1.53	17.8	15.9	1.89
Richard Jefferson	58	58	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	-4	17	16.9	15.2	1.62	17.5	16.5	1.02
Monta Ellis	59	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-2	13	16.4	16.2	0.21	17.6	16.2	1.45
Rajon Rondo	57	55	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.06	11	-2	13	16.5	16.0	0.54	17.9	15.8	2.08
Jose Juan Barea	28	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	11	-13	16.2	16.4	-0.21	16.2	17.6	-1.45
Charlie Villanueva	8	8	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	7	-5	14.1	16.5	-2.42	20.6	16.8	3.81
Devin Harris	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.22	-7	16	-23	16.0	16.6	-0.59	15.4	18.4	-3.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	43	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	16.7	15.9	0.77	15.8	18.6	-2.85
Amar'e Stoudemire	42	41	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.27	-14	23	-37	16.3	16.3	0.02	15.8	18.4	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 82, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
HOU 77, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
DAL 87, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%