NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	4.9 [809]		MVP	Chuck Person (SAS): +4.1%
San Antonio Spurs	96		Comeback	1.6 [1129]		LVP	Samaki Walker (DAL): -14.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.09	23	67%	0.07	4	-0.11	6	83%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Martin Muursepp	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	17	39%	-0.09	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.04	7	47%	-0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	12	61%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	57%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	0.07	9	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	30.6	11.0	22.6	1.8	28.2	120.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.3%

SAS +4.2%

SAS +1.7%

SAS +10.5%

SAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	16.9	16.0	15.6	100.0	109.1	102.5
season	15.8	15.9		98.3	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.5		97.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.4	19.0	17.4	15.0	16.9
SAS	16.3	15.3	15.3	17.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	18	19	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.17	9	-18	27	13.4	17.8	-4.38	17.5	15.6	1.95
Martin Muursepp	11	10	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-12	15	19.6	16.5	3.11	17.4	15.8	1.58
Chris Anstey	27	27	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.23	9	-18	27	16.3	17.2	-0.96	16.8	15.7	1.12
Hubert Davis	18	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-8	7	15.8	17.2	-1.44	18.3	15.4	2.89
Dennis Scott	76	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	2	-13	17.2	14.9	2.30	15.7	17.9	-2.22
Samaki Walker	66	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.05	-16	7	-23	16.4	18.4	-1.99	16.2	15.4	0.71
Michael Finley	80	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	-3	-3	16.9	17.1	-0.24	15.8	18.9	-3.10
A.C. Green	70	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	5	-19	17.2	15.8	1.44	15.4	18.7	-3.35
Khalid Reeves	69	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.06	-18	9	-27	17.8	13.4	4.38	15.6	17.5	-1.95

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	53	55	0.74	-0.24	0.98	-0.11	29	-20	49	16.0	15.9	0.09	19.0	13.4	5.61
Tim Duncan	77	75	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.13	15	-6	21	15.3	20.8	-5.51	17.1	15.7	1.36
Avery Johnson	55	55	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.02	16	-7	23	14.9	17.8	-2.96	17.3	16.3	1.01
Sean Elliott	43	43	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-5	19	15.1	16.9	-1.82	19.2	14.7	4.53
David Robinson	59	61	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	-5	19	15.9	16.1	-0.15	18.2	13.8	4.38
Malik Rose	38	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	15	-21	17.6	14.8	2.87	14.8	18.5	-3.76
Chuck Person	47	45	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.34	-10	19	-29	16.7	15.2	1.55	14.4	19.6	-5.17
Cory Alexander	33	32	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	16	-23	17.8	14.9	2.96	16.3	17.3	-1.01
Jaren Jackson	35	32	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.35	-20	29	-49	15.9	16.0	-0.09	13.4	19.0	-5.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
CHI 90, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.93,1,1,1	94.4%
PHI 76, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%