inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 113 Excitement2.8 [1175] MVPBrian Shaw (LAL): +7.7%
Washington Wizards 93 Comeback1.5 [943] LVPKwame Brown (WAS): -6.6%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Shaw0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.010.00-0.08560%0.082-0.0000%0.00
Devean George0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.00-0.02475%0.0700.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.00-0.031358%0.082-0.0200%0.00
Rick Fox0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.021162%0.0500.002100%0.00
Samaki Walker0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.000.044100%0.0400.001100%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.100.010.074100%0.0300.004100%0.01
Mitch Richmond0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04550%0.022-0.022100%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.07-0.00-0.061350%0.034-0.042100%0.01
Shaquille O'Neal-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.041846%-0.032-0.031267%-0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.021658%0.052-0.04475%-0.01
Courtney Alexander0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.000.051170%0.042-0.035100%0.02
Tyrone Nesby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.03-0.00-0.03543%0.0000.00450%-0.01
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.00571%0.032-0.034100%0.02
Jahidi White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.05844%0.023-0.0200%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05933%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.000.05657%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Michael Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.000.031445%-0.041-0.02367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.53.229.419.024.32.426.4130.2
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +36.9%
WAS -0.2%
LAL +6.1%
LAL +4.6%
LAL +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALWASNBALALWASNBA
this game14.815.215.6117.796.9102.3
season15.316.5106.9102.2
opponent15.315.4103.999.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL13.815.614.215.814.8
WAS15.016.314.614.815.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal62620.55-0.050.60-0.4534-144814.615.3-0.6815.714.21.55
Kobe Bryant67670.52-0.020.54-0.2125-53014.216.2-1.9315.315.00.25
Rick Fox55550.430.070.36-0.101821614.315.5-1.2515.414.90.56
Derek Fisher62620.360.140.23-0.2822-22414.315.8-1.4614.716.1-1.37
Samaki Walker45450.230.27-0.04-0.03911-214.615.0-0.3415.015.3-0.33
Robert Horry46440.220.28-0.060.01713-614.215.4-1.2914.415.9-1.50
Brian Shaw27270.120.38-0.260.18-222-2415.914.41.4316.314.71.56
Devean George31310.070.43-0.36-0.05416-1215.314.60.6414.615.4-0.83
Mitch Richmond26250.010.49-0.480.10-323-2615.514.60.8814.615.4-0.83
Mark Madsen10100.000.50-0.500.06-222-2416.414.61.7615.615.10.47
Slava Medvedenko2931-0.000.50-0.500.23-828-3616.114.31.8815.415.10.26
Lindsey Hunter2021-0.020.52-0.530.10-424-2816.914.32.6915.915.00.87

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Etan Thomas1112-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-232613.115.4-2.3613.615.0-1.42
Christian Laettner3838-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-191815.415.00.4015.914.11.82
Tyronn Lue4141-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-202014.215.9-1.7114.215.3-1.05
Brendan Haywood4241-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-151014.915.4-0.5715.214.50.69
Tyrone Nesby4041-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-3-171415.115.2-0.0515.614.31.29
Michael Jordan2423-0.20-0.300.090.00-7-13615.914.90.9314.414.9-0.51
Jahidi White3636-0.27-0.23-0.030.26-18-2-1616.214.61.6314.714.9-0.25
Chris Whitney4646-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-14-6-815.614.80.8715.214.50.72
Richard Hamilton6766-0.36-0.14-0.210.05-14-6-815.115.4-0.3914.715.2-0.50
Courtney Alexander7071-0.41-0.09-0.310.24-222-2415.314.70.6114.815.0-0.19
Kwame Brown6565-0.47-0.03-0.440.09-19-1-1815.015.5-0.4514.216.0-1.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 100, CHA 680.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
SAS 125, CLE 900.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%
SAC 125, LAC 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%