NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	2.6 [1004]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (CHI): +14.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	68		Comeback	1.1 [508]		LVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHA): -4.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.00	0.03	13	85%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	6	86%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	12	42%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	11	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Mike James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	36%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Omer Asik	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	45%	-0.03	2	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	13	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	8	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	11	35%	-0.03	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	10	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Cory Higgins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	7	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	28.3	15.6	25.0	1.5	25.7	122.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +57.5%

CHA -11.5%

CHI +6.0%

CHA -2.9%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	16.7	17.2	15.6	117.6	80.0	102.8
season	16.0	16.3		104.7	94.1
opponent	15.0	15.9		108.9	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.8	17.2	16.5	17.3	16.7
CHA	17.0	17.1	17.0	17.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	43	44	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	15	2	16.1	17.2	-1.10	17.0	17.5	-0.51
Ronnie Brewer	43	44	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	15	2	16.1	17.2	-1.10	17.0	17.5	-0.51
Joakim Noah	43	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	15	2	16.1	17.2	-1.10	17.3	17.1	0.21
CJ Watson	37	38	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	22	-12	16.9	16.5	0.37	17.3	17.1	0.26
Carlos Boozer	37	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	22	-12	16.9	16.5	0.37	17.8	16.8	0.99
Taj Gibson	48	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.40	22	10	12	16.5	16.9	-0.37	16.8	17.8	-0.99
John Lucas III	48	47	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.40	22	10	12	16.5	16.9	-0.37	17.1	17.3	-0.26
Omer Asik	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.25	13	19	-6	17.8	15.8	1.95	17.2	17.2	0.03
Kyle Korver	34	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.28	14	18	-4	17.0	16.5	0.58	17.8	16.8	0.91
Jimmy Butler	42	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.31	15	17	-2	17.2	16.1	1.10	17.5	17.0	0.51
Mike James	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	31	-30	18.1	16.5	1.59	16.2	17.3	-1.05
Brian Scalabrine	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	30	-28	13.2	16.9	-3.70	16.2	17.3	-1.06

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Higgins	33	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.23	-9	-23	14	16.8	17.4	-0.57	17.5	16.1	1.41
Tyrus Thomas	7	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-27	22	12.9	17.6	-4.73	11.5	17.1	-5.58
Matt Carroll	30	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-26	20	16.2	17.8	-1.60	16.9	16.6	0.28
DJ White	45	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.17	-10	-22	12	16.7	17.8	-1.13	17.8	15.3	2.54
Derrick Brown	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-23	14	17.9	16.0	1.94	16.5	17.0	-0.46
Jamario Moon	31	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.42	-23	-9	-14	16.0	17.9	-1.94	17.0	16.5	0.46
Bismack Biyombo	57	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-20	8	18.1	15.3	2.85	17.0	16.1	0.83
Gerald Henderson	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.36	-26	-6	-20	17.8	16.2	1.60	16.6	16.9	-0.28
Kemba Walker	52	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.21	-23	-9	-14	17.4	16.8	0.57	16.1	17.5	-1.41
Byron Mullens	61	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.62	-37	5	-42	17.2	17.2	0.05	16.1	18.3	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 138, SEA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAS 116, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
POR 98, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%