NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	125		Excitement	2.7 [1203]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +14.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	100		Comeback	1.0 [597]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -9.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.20	0.00	0.06	14	86%	0.17	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Vlade Divac	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	68%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.14	0.00	0.09	10	79%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	11	68%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	59%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Doug Christie	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	6	38%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	11	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	4	36%	0.01	2	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	15	65%	0.05	3	-0.06	7	86%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	22	39%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.0	26.2	15.6	29.4	1.8	24.1	121.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.0%

SAC +0.7%

SAC +3.8%

SAC +9.8%

SAC +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	15.7	130.2	105.3	100.5
season	14.7	15.5		106.9	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.6	14.3	16.0	15.6	14.8
LAC	15.9	14.5	16.0	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	55	54	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.28	28	-3	31	13.9	16.0	-2.08	15.6	15.0	0.57
Peja Stojakovic	64	63	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.29	28	-3	31	14.4	15.7	-1.23	15.7	14.7	1.01
Brad Miller	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.32	24	1	23	14.9	14.5	0.49	14.9	16.6	-1.65
Doug Christie	68	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.27	22	3	19	14.5	15.7	-1.29	14.7	16.7	-1.96
Mike Bibby	53	53	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.23	20	5	15	14.2	15.6	-1.40	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Bobby Jackson	36	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.29	15	10	5	17.1	13.5	3.60	16.7	14.5	2.21
Darius Songaila	22	22	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	24	-23	14.5	14.9	-0.49	16.6	14.9	1.65
Anthony Peeler	38	37	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	24	-23	16.0	14.1	1.97	15.2	15.4	-0.14
Jabari Smith	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	33	-41	13.8	15.0	-1.23	14.8	15.4	-0.65
Gerald Wallace	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	28	-31	13.1	15.2	-2.05	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Tony Massenburg	41	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	28	-31	16.0	13.9	2.08	15.0	15.6	-0.57

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-29	33	13.1	15.5	-2.36	12.6	15.0	-2.41
Doug Overton	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-21	17	15.8	15.2	0.58	17.1	14.4	2.75
Melvin Ely	23	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-25	25	15.0	15.4	-0.43	15.6	14.6	1.06
Matt Barnes	36	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-22	19	15.6	15.1	0.50	16.2	13.9	2.24
Predrag Drobnjak	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.28	-13	-12	-1	17.0	14.6	2.40	17.4	13.7	3.70
Chris Wilcox	35	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-25	25	14.6	15.7	-1.15	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Eddie House	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-23	21	15.3	15.4	-0.07	15.1	14.6	0.56
Chris Kaman	40	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-10	-5	15.4	15.3	0.08	13.7	15.7	-1.97
Marko Jaric	51	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.21	-20	-5	-15	14.9	15.9	-1.00	13.7	16.1	-2.41
Elton Brand	62	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.23	-22	-3	-19	15.0	15.9	-0.85	14.4	15.6	-1.17
Quentin Richardson	70	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.31	-25	0	-25	15.3	15.3	0.01	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Corey Maggette	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.29	-25	0	-25	15.7	14.7	0.97	14.5	15.3	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 125, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
POR 106, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAS 116, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%