NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	125		Excitement	2.4 [1016]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +12.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	1.2 [992]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -7.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	-0.00	0.01	11	79%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.00	0.02	12	76%	0.12	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	69%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.17	0.00	0.14	11	91%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	5	71%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	44%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Lester Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	60%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	61%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	10	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	15	42%	-0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.6	26.4	14.8	22.0	1.6	28.3	118.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +35.9%

SAS +1.1%

SAS +5.3%

SAS +7.2%

SAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CLE	NBA	SAS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.1	17.1	15.6	134.4	97.8	102.8
season	15.3	15.5		109.1	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.2		107.1	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.3	12.7	15.8	12.9	14.1
CLE	18.2	16.1	17.6	16.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	44	43	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.22	21	14	7	14.6	13.6	1.02	17.8	16.5	1.30
Manu Ginobili	37	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.27	21	14	7	14.0	14.1	-0.17	16.6	17.4	-0.86
Tony Parker	43	42	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	19	-3	14.4	13.8	0.55	17.4	16.8	0.65
Matt Bonner	19	21	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.16	16	19	-3	11.3	14.8	-3.53	18.2	16.7	1.44
Danny Green	51	50	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	23	-11	14.3	13.8	0.48	16.8	17.5	-0.69
Stephen Jackson	18	18	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.10	11	24	-13	12.3	14.5	-2.16	17.8	16.9	0.87
Boris Diaw	50	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.37	18	17	1	14.2	13.9	0.31	16.1	18.0	-1.89
Kawhi Leonard	33	33	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	29	-23	15.8	13.1	2.65	18.6	16.2	2.34
Patty Mills	37	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.41	18	17	1	13.8	14.2	-0.39	17.4	16.9	0.50
Tiago Splitter	33	35	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.26	13	22	-9	14.1	14.1	0.02	17.1	17.0	0.11
Gary Neal	31	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.15	7	28	-21	13.0	14.6	-1.61	16.2	17.5	-1.30
James Anderson	29	29	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.40	14	21	-7	14.0	14.1	-0.16	16.1	17.5	-1.37
DeJuan Blair	40	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	33	-31	14.6	13.7	0.96	16.8	17.3	-0.53

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Semih Erden	24	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-27	19	16.6	17.2	-0.67	12.9	14.5	-1.63
Donald Sloan	29	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.40	-14	-21	7	16.1	17.5	-1.37	14.0	14.1	-0.16
Luke Walton	37	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.21	-9	-26	17	17.0	17.1	-0.08	12.9	14.8	-1.88
Omri Casspi	37	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.21	-9	-26	17	17.0	17.1	-0.08	12.9	14.8	-1.88
Manny Harris	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-31	27	18.0	16.9	1.06	13.0	14.2	-1.23
Lester Hudson	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.33	-18	-17	-1	17.0	17.1	-0.06	12.7	15.3	-2.52
Tristan Thompson	52	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.17	-14	-21	7	16.9	17.3	-0.44	15.3	12.5	2.84
Samardo Samuels	16	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-22	9	18.4	16.8	1.65	11.9	14.5	-2.66
Anthony Parker	43	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-24	13	17.5	16.7	0.73	14.8	13.4	1.36
Kyrie Irving	56	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.28	-23	-12	-11	17.1	17.1	0.03	14.8	12.9	1.92
Antawn Jamison	55	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.32	-26	-9	-17	17.1	17.0	0.08	14.8	12.9	1.88
Alonzo Gee	55	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.32	-26	-9	-17	17.1	17.0	0.08	14.8	12.9	1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 125, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
POR 106, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
LAL 113, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%