NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	1.6 [599]		MVP	P.J. Brown (CHH): +7.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Comeback	4.2 [428]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -17.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.02	8	54%	0.08	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
David Wesley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Lee Nailon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	12	36%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
George Lynch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Baron Davis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	25	38%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	12	23%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.03	17	55%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	11	50%	0.09	4	-0.14	4	25%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	13	31%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	15	33%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.8	24.2	14.6	23.2	2.5	30.4	118.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +10.9%

CLE -5.7%

CHH +21.8%

CHH +24.0%

CLE -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CLE	NBA	CHH	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	15.6	98.9	93.4	102.3
season	15.9	15.8		102.2	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		106.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.5	14.0	15.5	17.3	15.5
CLE	18.8	14.9	13.9	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	47	47	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.34	23	-15	38	15.0	16.0	-0.96	15.7	15.7	0.00
P.J. Brown	78	77	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.26	23	-15	38	15.9	13.6	2.23	16.0	13.7	2.30
Lee Nailon	52	51	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-3	14	14.9	16.2	-1.29	15.2	16.2	-1.01
Baron Davis	94	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	15.5	0.0	15.48	15.7	0.0	15.66
Robert Traylor	42	40	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	5	-2	15.5	15.4	0.12	14.5	16.6	-2.07
Jamaal Magloire	52	51	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.10	5	3	2	15.4	15.5	-0.12	16.6	14.5	2.07
George Lynch	10	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	13	-18	12.3	15.9	-3.56	13.9	15.9	-1.96
Jamal Mashburn	48	45	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.09	-13	21	-34	16.1	14.8	1.36	15.9	15.4	0.50
David Wesley	47	44	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	-0.08	-15	23	-38	16.0	15.0	0.96	15.7	15.7	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trajan Langdon	12	14	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.03	8	-16	24	13.5	16.0	-2.49	15.0	15.6	-0.56
Lamond Murray	71	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-7	6	15.4	16.6	-1.27	15.5	15.5	-0.09
Chris Mihm	19	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-7	6	16.6	15.4	1.16	18.6	14.6	3.98
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-4	0	16.1	15.1	0.93	15.8	15.1	0.77
Jumaine Jones	18	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-4	0	14.4	16.0	-1.58	13.6	15.9	-2.38
Tyrone Hill	69	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-4	0	15.5	16.3	-0.81	15.0	17.2	-2.22
Brian Skinner	26	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-5	2	15.6	15.7	-0.12	15.1	15.6	-0.57
Bryant Stith	28	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	16.4	15.3	1.01	16.4	15.0	1.35
Ricky Davis	75	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	5	-18	15.9	14.4	1.48	15.5	15.2	0.37
Andre Miller	87	89	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	5	-18	15.7	14.0	1.74	15.2	20.4	-5.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.13,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.04,0	91.8%
TOR 106, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	91.8%
UTA 100, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	91.8%