NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	4.9 [839]		MVP	Corie Blount (PHI): +9.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	80		Comeback	2.0 [443]		LVP	Speedy Claxton (PHI): -18.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.02	15	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	71%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	13	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.06
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	14	44%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.00	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.17	-0.01	-0.05	13	25%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	125%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	12	45%	-0.01	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	57%	-0.00	4	-0.08	5	40%	-0.04
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	20	47%	-0.07	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	7	19%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	10	18%	-0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.8	31.1	19.7	27.1	2.6	30.6	137.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +40.4%

PHI -8.5%

NJN +10.1%

NJN +7.6%

NJN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	15.6	92.6	84.2	102.3
season	14.7	15.9		101.4	99.3
opponent	15.6	16.0		98.2	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	15.0	14.0	14.6	14.6
PHI	15.2	17.7	15.4	14.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	84	84	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	2	4	14.3	16.8	-2.53	15.5	17.9	-2.46
Jason Collins	54	53	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	-3	14	14.1	15.2	-1.17	14.9	16.7	-1.79
Kerry Kittles	76	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	2	4	15.4	11.4	4.01	15.9	15.0	0.93
Jason Kidd	76	74	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	4	0	14.2	16.2	-1.97	15.6	16.2	-0.58
Keith Van Horn	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	6	-4	14.9	13.9	1.01	15.9	15.5	0.44
Anthony Johnson	38	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	2	4	13.8	15.1	-1.36	15.6	15.8	-0.22
Todd MacCulloch	34	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	7	-6	14.6	14.6	0.06	16.8	15.1	1.64
Aaron Williams	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	6	-4	14.9	14.3	0.60	15.0	16.2	-1.21
Brian Scalabrine	16	16	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	6	-4	15.5	14.4	1.11	18.7	15.1	3.55

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vonteego Cummings	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-12	16	10.1	16.3	-6.13	17.0	14.4	2.64
Derrick McKey	30	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-7	6	15.3	15.9	-0.59	16.0	13.9	2.10
Raja Bell	33	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-10	12	13.3	17.0	-3.68	15.7	14.0	1.71
Corie Blount	47	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	15.3	16.1	-0.78	14.1	15.0	-0.95
Matt Harpring	49	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-3	-2	16.5	14.9	1.60	13.4	15.8	-2.42
Dikembe Mutombo	56	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	0	-8	16.2	15.0	1.25	14.0	15.5	-1.54
Aaron McKie	42	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	1	-10	15.1	16.2	-1.11	13.5	15.5	-1.95
Eric Snow	80	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-3	-2	16.3	12.9	3.33	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Speedy Claxton	60	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	16.2	14.9	1.30	15.3	13.4	1.87
Derrick Coleman	70	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-1	-6	16.4	14.0	2.36	15.1	13.1	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 116, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.4%
BKN 98, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.23,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
MIN 112, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%