NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	116		Excitement	4.7 [844]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (UTA): +13.1%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.8 [356]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -13.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.04	0.02	12	81%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	90%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
John Stockton	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	21	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	17	76%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.01	0.01	10	56%	-0.01	3	-0.06	12	58%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	13	67%	0.10	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.05
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	90%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	67%	0.08	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	16	56%	0.00	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	0.03	10	61%	0.02	7	-0.15	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	26.3	17.5	31.3	2.4	32.3	137.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.3%

DAL -12.2%

UTA +18.3%

UTA +26.9%

UTA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.5	12.9	15.5	118.4	105.1	100.9
season	16.0	15.2		105.3	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.2	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.4	15.0	15.4	17.1	16.5
DAL	11.6	14.4	14.6	11.0	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	74	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-2	17	15.8	18.5	-2.63	12.9	12.8	0.11
Bryon Russell	85	84	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.09	14	-1	15	16.4	16.8	-0.35	12.6	15.0	-2.43
Karl Malone	83	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	1	11	16.6	15.5	1.11	12.6	14.3	-1.67
Donyell Marshall	75	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	3	7	16.1	17.8	-1.77	12.4	14.5	-2.10
John Starks	70	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	1	11	16.9	15.5	1.41	12.5	14.0	-1.46
Olden Polynice	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	12	-11	15.5	16.9	-1.41	14.0	12.5	1.46
Greg Ostertag	21	21	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	12	-11	18.0	16.1	1.89	13.3	12.8	0.47
Danny Manning	18	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	10	-7	15.7	16.6	-0.92	15.7	12.3	3.43
Jacque Vaughn	36	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	16	-19	17.9	15.6	2.24	13.6	12.5	1.12

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	9	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-12	11	15.1	12.7	2.41	16.4	16.5	-0.10
Wang Zhi-zhi	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	9.5	13.0	-3.49	22.0	16.4	5.65
Calvin Booth	32	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-10	7	11.7	13.5	-1.87	17.5	15.9	1.62
Steve Nash	66	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-13	13	12.6	13.6	-0.96	16.8	15.7	1.11
Vernon Maxwell	44	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-9	5	14.2	11.9	2.25	15.9	17.0	-1.10
Shawn Bradley	35	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-3	-7	13.2	12.8	0.44	16.3	16.6	-0.32
Howard Eisley	40	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	13.4	12.6	0.86	16.5	16.4	0.09
Dirk Nowitzki	89	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-4	-5	12.8	14.6	-1.80	16.3	17.9	-1.59
Juwan Howard	80	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	-1	-11	12.7	13.7	-0.92	16.3	17.2	-0.92
Michael Finley	93	92	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.09	-16	3	-19	12.8	14.6	-1.77	16.4	18.0	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 88, PHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
DET 107, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
TOR 90, MIL 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%