NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	107		Excitement	4.6 [896]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +7.9%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	2.1 [259]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -15.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	76%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.01	-0.06	10	58%	0.09	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	13	54%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	4	70%	0.08	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	9	52%	0.03	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Mike James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	47%	-0.01	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	13	60%	0.03	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	66%	0.08	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.04	8	72%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	59%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	6	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	13	31%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	33.7	15.8	25.4	2.5	31.3	136.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +35.2%

DET +4.5%

CHI -1.1%

DET +10.3%

DET +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.7	115.1	93.6	100.5
season	16.2	15.2		99.2	94.6
opponent	15.4	16.0		101.3	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.5	13.4	15.3	13.3	14.8
CHI	15.2	14.8	16.7	17.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	67	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.12	21	-2	23	15.2	13.8	1.42	16.5	14.8	1.70
Ben Wallace	69	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	7	5	15.3	13.3	2.03	16.2	15.6	0.57
Tayshaun Prince	70	72	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.06	13	6	7	14.6	15.3	-0.68	16.2	15.4	0.77
Richard Hamilton	64	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	7	5	15.7	12.9	2.76	15.7	16.8	-1.17
Corliss Williamson	43	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	10	-1	14.4	15.1	-0.70	15.6	16.3	-0.68
Mike James	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	10	-1	13.7	16.1	-2.37	15.7	16.3	-0.64
Elden Campbell	29	28	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	10	-1	16.2	14.2	2.05	15.8	16.1	-0.25
Rasheed Wallace	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.16	11	8	3	15.2	14.4	0.77	18.1	14.2	3.94
Darvin Ham	11	11	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	16	-13	11.4	15.3	-3.89	13.2	16.4	-3.19
Tremaine Fowlkes	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	10.6	15.2	-4.56	12.0	16.4	-4.37
Darko Milicic	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	12.7	15.1	-2.35	13.6	16.3	-2.68

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	47	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-20	21	17.1	14.9	2.30	17.0	12.3	4.75
Ronald Dupree	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.17	-9	-10	1	16.8	15.5	1.31	14.6	14.9	-0.25
Kirk Hinrich	59	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-12	5	16.7	14.8	1.91	16.1	12.4	3.72
Tyson Chandler	46	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	-7	-5	16.1	15.9	0.26	13.5	16.0	-2.50
Corie Blount	29	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-13	7	14.2	16.8	-2.64	12.8	15.6	-2.81
Antonio Davis	46	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-10	1	16.8	15.3	1.49	15.9	13.7	2.22
Jerome Williams	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-12	5	16.0	16.0	-0.04	15.5	13.8	1.70
Rick Brunson	31	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-9	-1	13.8	17.1	-3.27	11.8	16.2	-4.36
Jamal Crawford	59	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	-10	-9	-1	16.8	14.7	2.09	15.8	13.0	2.88
Marcus Fizer	33	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	-5	-9	15.2	16.4	-1.26	12.6	15.9	-3.31
Eddie Robinson	34	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-7	-5	14.2	17.0	-2.86	12.7	15.9	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 93, ATL 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
PHI 114, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
GSW 98, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%