NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	77		Excitement	3.4 [1076]		MVP	Jacque Vaughn (ATL): +11.1%
Atlanta Hawks	103		Comeback	1.0 [656]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -15.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	5	47%	0.00	1	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	11	66%	0.05	3	-0.05	10	60%	-0.03
Brandon Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	40%	-0.00	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	6	33%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.16	-0.00	-0.05	10	30%	-0.04	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.01	11	38%	-0.02	6	-0.13	4	75%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	8	90%	0.13	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	10	65%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	67%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.04	9	67%	0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	60%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	70%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Hanno Mottola	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	15	39%	-0.00	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	0.07	10	50%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	26.5	15.6	25.2	1.8	29.2	122.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +35.2%

ATL +2.2%

NJN -3.8%

ATL +15.6%

ATL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	14.0	15.8	15.6	79.4	107.3	102.3
season	14.7	15.5		101.4	99.7
opponent	15.2	16.0		103.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.1	13.7	12.6	16.1	14.0
ATL	15.9	14.5	15.7	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Armstrong	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-22	18	14.0	14.0	-0.05	19.5	15.4	4.12
Brian Scalabrine	21	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	-21	16	16.1	13.5	2.68	17.3	15.4	1.95
Jason Collins	47	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.23	-12	-14	2	14.7	13.4	1.32	15.7	15.9	-0.19
Donny Marshall	18	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-17	8	16.8	13.4	3.43	16.2	15.7	0.43
Anthony Johnson	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.20	-13	-13	0	16.5	11.9	4.52	16.3	15.4	0.90
Aaron Williams	37	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-12	-2	16.4	12.6	3.82	16.0	15.7	0.26
Todd MacCulloch	50	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-18	10	12.1	16.1	-3.92	15.2	16.4	-1.25
Kerry Kittles	68	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-10	-6	12.8	17.0	-4.27	15.6	16.3	-0.76
Richard Jefferson	80	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-9	-8	13.5	16.5	-3.02	15.6	16.9	-1.32
Keith Van Horn	50	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	-12	-2	13.4	14.7	-1.32	15.9	15.7	0.19
Jason Kidd	60	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	-8	-10	12.9	15.8	-2.90	15.2	16.9	-1.71

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	71	71	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.12	24	2	22	15.1	17.9	-2.85	13.4	15.8	-2.41
Jacque Vaughn	72	74	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.34	30	-4	34	15.6	16.4	-0.75	15.0	11.0	3.99
Alan Henderson	44	45	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.18	22	4	18	15.5	16.1	-0.66	13.8	14.3	-0.53
Hanno Mottola	32	32	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	7	12	15.5	16.0	-0.42	15.6	13.3	2.27
Toni Kukoc	39	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	12	2	15.9	15.8	0.14	13.7	14.3	-0.58
Ira Newble	50	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	19	-12	15.3	16.3	-1.03	14.4	13.6	0.78
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	61	63	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	21	-16	15.8	15.8	0.06	13.7	14.7	-1.07
Nazr Mohammed	43	42	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	21	-16	15.0	16.5	-1.51	14.5	13.7	0.85
Mark Strickland	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	19.9	15.4	4.50	14.5	14.0	0.50
Cal Bowdler	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	21.0	15.4	5.60	11.7	14.2	-2.51
Leon Smith	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	20.4	15.6	4.84	10.8	14.2	-3.42
DerMarr Johnson	47	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.13	0	26	-26	16.9	14.8	2.12	13.3	14.7	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, UTA 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
POR 77, NOP 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
IND 73, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%