NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	89		Excitement	3.3 [1105]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +12.6%
Utah Jazz	118		Comeback	1.1 [1143]		LVP	Udonis Haslem (MIA): -6.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Chalmers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Daequan Cook	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Michael Beasley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	14	67%	0.01	5	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	52%	0.04	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.02	12	79%	0.15	3	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	15	71%	0.15	4	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	12	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.05	8	68%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.17	0.00	0.15	8	82%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	30.4	15.5	25.7	2.5	26.6	127.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.0%

UTA +8.9%

MIA -9.4%

UTA +19.2%

UTA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	UTA	NBA	MIA	UTA	NBA
this game	17.7	13.9	15.3	97.8	129.7	106.0
season	16.2	15.3		104.4	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.4		104.5	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	18.9	17.4	17.6	17.0	17.7
UTA	13.8	12.6	15.1	14.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daequan Cook	30	31	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.22	-6	-23	17	17.1	18.0	-0.97	14.1	13.8	0.30
Jamaal Magloire	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-31	33	16.5	17.9	-1.43	14.9	13.8	1.13
Carlos Arroyo	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-31	33	16.5	17.9	-1.43	14.9	13.8	1.13
Dorell Wright	38	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.31	-17	-12	-5	17.6	17.8	-0.28	13.4	14.3	-0.91
Mario Chalmers	32	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.38	-20	-9	-11	17.7	17.7	-0.04	12.4	14.7	-2.30
Joel Anthony	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.40	-21	-8	-13	18.3	17.4	0.97	13.9	13.9	0.01
Michael Beasley	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.30	-18	-11	-7	17.9	17.6	0.29	14.2	13.6	0.61
Jermaine O'Neal	46	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-19	9	17.6	17.9	-0.30	13.7	14.2	-0.53
Rafer Alston	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-18	7	18.0	17.4	0.65	14.7	13.1	1.55
Quentin Richardson	52	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-14	-1	17.7	17.7	0.08	13.8	14.1	-0.25
Dwyane Wade	56	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	-14	-1	17.2	18.6	-1.44	14.2	13.5	0.71
Udonis Haslem	53	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.07	-16	-13	-3	18.6	16.4	2.18	13.7	14.2	-0.43

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	64	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.42	32	-3	35	13.8	14.1	-0.30	19.5	13.1	6.33
Carlos Boozer	66	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.38	29	0	29	13.8	14.4	-0.64	18.6	15.1	3.52
Deron Williams	69	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.35	25	4	21	14.1	13.5	0.57	17.7	17.7	-0.03
Paul Millsap	54	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.24	18	11	7	13.2	15.0	-1.80	17.5	18.0	-0.44
Mehmet Okur	46	46	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	18	-7	14.3	13.5	0.79	17.6	17.8	-0.21
Andrei Kirilenko	51	51	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	22	-15	14.3	13.4	0.91	16.8	18.9	-2.12
Wesley Matthews	39	40	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.31	17	12	5	13.6	14.2	-0.65	14.8	20.0	-5.16
Sundiata Gaines	22	19	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	25	-21	13.5	14.1	-0.57	17.7	17.7	0.03
Kyle Korver	28	25	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	27	-25	13.9	13.9	-0.01	19.6	17.0	2.66
Kosta Koufos	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	29	-29	16.0	13.7	2.27	14.4	18.0	-3.56
Kyrylo Fesenko	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	29	-29	16.0	13.7	2.27	14.4	18.0	-3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
NJN 77, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
BOS 101, SAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,1,1,1	96.3%