NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	77		Excitement	3.1 [1170]		MVP	Shabazz Napier (POR): +7.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	100		Comeback	1.4 [900]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -14.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Napier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	59%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.06	18	64%	0.10	4	-0.09	9	100%	0.03
Pat Connaughton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	12	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	2	30%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Maurice Harkless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	3	12%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Crabbe	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	22%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	8	12%	-0.07	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	5	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	42%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	22	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.08
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	26.2	15.4	25.3	2.5	28.2	124.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +30.2%

POR -2.0%

POR -2.3%

NOP +23.1%

NOP +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOP	NBA	POR	NOP	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	14.8	79.4	103.1	107.7
season	14.9	14.1		108.6	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.5		106.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.2	15.5	15.9	14.6	15.3
NOP	14.2	15.2	14.1	14.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Layman	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-26	29	12.8	15.9	-3.05	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Pat Connaughton	25	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-25	27	13.6	15.9	-2.30	14.2	14.5	-0.35
Shabazz Napier	37	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-24	25	14.2	15.9	-1.70	15.6	13.6	1.95
Meyers Leonard	50	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-21	19	14.5	16.1	-1.63	14.8	14.0	0.87
Noah Vonleh	46	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-16	9	14.9	15.6	-0.68	13.7	15.1	-1.44
CJ McCollum	59	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.19	-15	-8	-7	15.7	14.6	1.09	14.7	14.0	0.73
Maurice Harkless	41	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	-6	-11	15.5	15.1	0.42	13.8	14.8	-0.97
Al-Farouq Aminu	48	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.17	-17	-6	-11	15.9	14.7	1.20	15.2	13.7	1.55
Jusuf Nurkic	45	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-7	-9	16.4	14.3	2.11	13.7	15.0	-1.36
Allen Crabbe	49	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.21	-21	-2	-19	15.8	14.7	1.07	15.1	13.8	1.35
Damian Lillard	65	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.29	-26	3	-29	16.0	13.9	2.08	13.6	15.9	-2.34

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	64	63	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.16	22	1	21	13.8	15.6	-1.79	15.3	15.1	0.23
DeMarcus Cousins	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.02	17	6	11	14.5	14.2	0.33	15.7	14.6	1.13
E'Twaun Moore	58	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	5	13	14.5	14.3	0.15	15.4	15.1	0.35
Jrue Holiday	55	55	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.27	22	1	21	13.8	15.2	-1.35	15.7	14.6	1.10
Anthony Davis	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.38	22	1	21	14.2	14.7	-0.45	15.4	15.1	0.35
Dante Cunningham	46	48	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	16	-9	15.4	13.5	1.92	15.8	14.7	1.08
Jordan Crawford	44	45	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.24	14	9	5	16.3	12.8	3.47	15.2	15.3	-0.04
Tim Frazier	48	47	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	20	-17	15.2	13.6	1.64	14.6	15.9	-1.22
Alexis Ajinca	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	27	-31	11.7	14.8	-3.15	13.3	15.5	-2.25
Donatas Motiejunas	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	10.0	14.7	-4.71	11.2	15.5	-4.29
Wayne Selden	32	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	29	-35	13.2	15.0	-1.84	14.4	15.7	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, IND 133	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
POR 79, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
GSW 67, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%