NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	82		Excitement	5.1 [798]		MVP	Horace Grant (ORL): +4.1%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.2 [1188]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -14.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	3	62%	0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	11	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	7	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.05
Marcus Fizer	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	12	48%	-0.06	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	17	50%	-0.03	4	-0.11	6	50%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	69%	0.09	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	45%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	13	59%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	17	49%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	14	47%	0.06	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	33.0	16.7	25.3	2.5	31.2	135.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +34.1%

ORL +8.9%

ORL +2.6%

ORL +3.6%

ORL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.5	15.6	93.2	105.5	102.3
season	15.6	14.6		96.3	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.3	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.4	16.5	19.1	15.0	16.4
ORL	14.9	15.5	15.4	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	23	24	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.18	9	-23	32	11.9	18.0	-6.07	17.0	15.0	1.91
Fred Hoiberg	10	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-16	18	15.6	16.5	-0.90	14.1	15.7	-1.66
A.J. Guyton	17	18	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.15	6	-20	26	14.8	16.8	-1.95	14.6	15.8	-1.24
Dalibor Bagaric	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-14	14	17.4	16.3	1.06	13.7	15.7	-2.02
Eddie Robinson	28	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-16	18	14.3	17.4	-3.05	16.4	15.2	1.27
Tyson Chandler	35	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-14	14	15.1	17.2	-2.08	16.1	15.2	0.81
Trenton Hassell	63	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	0	-14	17.0	14.8	2.29	15.1	16.8	-1.67
Marcus Fizer	56	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	4	-22	17.4	14.6	2.88	15.5	15.6	-0.05
Charles Oakley	57	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	5	-24	17.9	13.7	4.15	14.9	16.7	-1.85
Jalen Rose	75	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.00	-18	4	-22	16.7	14.5	2.27	15.8	13.8	1.99
Travis Best	71	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.06	-20	6	-26	16.8	14.8	1.95	15.8	14.6	1.24

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monty Williams	72	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.04	21	-7	28	15.1	17.3	-2.23	17.4	12.4	5.01
Horace Grant	65	63	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.21	29	-15	44	14.9	17.1	-2.14	17.9	12.6	5.30
Tracy McGrady	70	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	-4	22	15.3	16.3	-0.96	17.5	12.7	4.72
Pat Garrity	52	49	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	1	12	15.0	16.3	-1.37	17.5	15.1	2.42
Darrell Armstrong	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	6	2	15.7	15.3	0.40	16.5	16.2	0.25
Andrew DeClercq	25	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	9	-4	15.1	15.7	-0.59	18.0	15.8	2.18
Troy Hudson	45	42	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	10	-6	16.6	14.6	1.99	15.9	16.9	-0.99
Dee Brown	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	9.3	15.8	-6.43	10.7	16.6	-5.93
Steven Hunter	10	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	15.2	15.6	-0.39	14.1	16.7	-2.55
Jud Buechler	18	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.20	-8	22	-30	16.4	15.3	1.12	10.6	17.8	-7.20
Don Reid	15	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.15	-8	22	-30	17.5	15.2	2.30	9.4	17.7	-8.37
Patrick Ewing	18	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.13	-8	22	-30	18.6	14.8	3.75	12.2	17.5	-5.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NOK 83, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.7%
CHI 88, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%