NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	5.2 [759]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +10.5%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	1.2 [1210]		LVP	Dickey Simpkins (CHI): -18.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Will Perdue	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	64%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
B.J. Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.06	-0.04	9	58%	0.01	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Randy Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Chris Carr	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	10	55%	0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	18	53%	-0.02	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.02
Dickey Simpkins	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	0.00	9	60%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	7	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	6	60%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.02	7	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Laron Profit	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	13	35%	-0.06	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	11	52%	0.00	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	27.6	15.4	24.5	2.4	26.5	123.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +16.1%

CHI -3.3%

WAS +15.0%

WAS +19.9%

WAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.3	15.2	90.7	104.1	101.7
season	16.5	15.5		91.8	101.1
opponent	14.8	14.9		104.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.8	15.0	17.9	15.0	15.4
WAS	13.9	14.4	13.4	15.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	31	32	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-15	17	14.2	15.9	-1.70	12.3	15.3	-2.98
B.J. Armstrong	36	36	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-16	19	14.7	15.7	-1.04	12.6	15.4	-2.84
Corey Benjamin	10	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-15	17	14.0	15.5	-1.51	13.6	14.5	-0.84
Will Perdue	37	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-15	17	15.8	15.1	0.74	12.9	15.2	-2.30
Chris Carr	52	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-9	5	14.9	15.9	-1.05	13.2	15.6	-2.43
Hersey Hawkins	68	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-3	-7	15.3	15.4	-0.14	14.6	13.8	0.74
Dickey Simpkins	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	4	-21	15.4	15.3	0.09	15.1	13.4	1.66
Metta World Peace	64	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	1	-15	16.0	14.1	1.91	15.3	12.4	2.84
Randy Brown	61	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	3	-19	15.7	14.7	1.04	15.4	12.6	2.84
Elton Brand	72	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	0	-13	15.6	14.7	0.90	15.3	11.8	3.50

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-3	19	14.2	14.6	-0.47	15.4	15.2	0.18
Gerard King	55	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	2	9	14.6	14.0	0.60	15.6	15.1	0.49
Jahidi White	40	41	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	3	7	14.8	14.0	0.82	16.4	14.6	1.80
Mitch Richmond	61	62	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	3	7	14.4	14.3	0.10	15.4	15.3	0.10
Aaron Williams	28	28	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	6	1	13.7	14.6	-0.83	15.9	15.1	0.76
Juwan Howard	54	54	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	8	-3	14.7	13.8	0.90	15.7	14.9	0.88
Richard Hamilton	36	35	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	10	-7	14.3	14.4	-0.10	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Don Reid	57	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	10	-7	14.0	14.8	-0.82	14.6	16.4	-1.80
Tracy Murray	56	57	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	10	-7	13.8	15.0	-1.19	14.5	16.5	-2.04
Chris Whitney	34	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	16	-19	14.6	14.2	0.47	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Laron Profit	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	23.0	14.2	8.75	0.0	15.4	-15.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.89,0.94,0.92,1	94.7%
CHI 82, ORL 96	0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
WAS 94, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%