inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 116 Excitement5.8 [649] MVPKenny Thomas (HOU): +14.4%
Golden State Warriors 104 Comeback1.2 [850] LVPSteve Francis (HOU): -12.8%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenny Thomas0.140,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.06-0.011669%0.182-0.041385%0.02
Cuttino Mobley0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.040.06-0.061443%0.102-0.0200%0.00
Jason Collier0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.00671%0.0600.002100%0.01
Terence Morris0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Walt Williams0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01570%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato0.020,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02592%0.052-0.03250%-0.01
Oscar Torres0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.01462%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Dan Langhi0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Moochie Norris-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.050.011045%-0.021-0.062100%0.02
Steve Francis-0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.14-0.02-0.031955%0.039-0.16650%-0.03

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01-0.031257%0.092-0.04475%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00583%0.072-0.042100%0.01
Chris Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.011653%0.0100.004100%0.03
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01955%0.032-0.04450%-0.03
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01750%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.031839%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.011546%-0.031-0.027100%0.04
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.06-0.01733%-0.091-0.021100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.82.724.716.630.12.432.9131.3
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +49.5%
GSW -4.0%
HOU +21.2%
GSW -16.6%
GSW -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUGSWNBAHOUGSWNBA
this game15.614.415.6120.8108.3102.3
season16.814.7100.9100.7
opponent15.115.2106.2106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.516.011.821.315.6
GSW14.315.314.913.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Francis86860.57-0.070.630.1016-42015.218.7-3.4914.315.1-0.75
Kelvin Cato62630.470.030.45-0.0217-52214.916.9-1.9814.115.0-0.92
Kenny Thomas80800.430.070.360.111111015.416.6-1.1914.414.30.14
Cuttino Mobley66670.360.140.210.06102815.216.5-1.3014.514.20.32
Moochie Norris53540.330.170.150.1275217.613.04.5814.015.0-1.06
Walt Williams40400.240.26-0.02-0.05102813.317.2-3.9415.213.91.37
Oscar Torres16160.130.37-0.25-0.0257-214.915.7-0.7615.814.11.66
Jason Collier34330.030.47-0.450.17-517-2216.914.91.9815.014.10.92
Dan Langhi1110-0.000.50-0.510.08-315-1817.215.41.8213.514.5-1.03
Terence Morris3231-0.040.54-0.580.20-820-2817.114.82.3313.714.8-1.01

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Murphy19200.00-0.500.50-0.186-182415.514.21.3714.715.8-1.04
Chris Mills3334-0.17-0.330.16-0.170-121214.114.6-0.4717.614.53.17
Larry Hughes3028-0.22-0.280.06-0.05-6-6014.614.40.2018.014.63.38
Erick Dampier2018-0.23-0.270.040.09-11-1-1016.214.02.2414.315.9-1.53
Danny Fortson3839-0.26-0.24-0.010.04-10-2-814.614.30.2113.217.2-4.07
Adonal Foyle7071-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.21-2-10813.915.9-2.0016.313.62.61
Gilbert Arenas6364-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-11-1-1014.913.51.3914.018.6-4.58
Antawn Jamison8181-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.15-5-7214.414.6-0.2015.316.9-1.53
Bob Sura5149-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.08-8-4-414.114.8-0.7417.413.73.71
Jason Richardson7576-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.06-131-1414.115.7-1.6515.316.7-1.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.09,0.22,0.25,0.08,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 125, TOR 1160.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.01,0.01,094.3%
DEN 82, HOU 760.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,094.2%
IND 119, WAS 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.05,0,0,093.9%