NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	6.1 [585]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +9.9%
Boston Celtics	91		Comeback	1.2 [620]		LVP	Tony Delk (BOS): -18.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	12	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	5	76%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.06	0.01	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Chris Dudley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	15	62%	0.14	7	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	10	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	11	39%	-0.03	5	-0.14	6	67%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	20	47%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	19	55%	0.10	4	-0.10	13	92%	0.06
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	5	71%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	11	64%	0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	7	44%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Tony Delk	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.0	30.1	15.5	29.3	2.5	32.2	133.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +38.6%

BOS -4.8%

POR +1.7%

POR +14.1%

POR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	15.6	101.0	91.9	102.3
season	16.0	15.0		105.0	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.7	13.3	15.0	19.2	14.9
BOS	14.5	13.9	15.0	13.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	78	79	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.28	18	-9	27	15.2	13.4	1.82	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Rasheed Wallace	93	93	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	5	-1	14.9	13.8	1.09	14.0	17.5	-3.48
Bonzi Wells	64	64	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	6	-3	15.5	13.7	1.77	14.5	13.8	0.67
Damon Stoudamire	85	83	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	8	-7	15.1	13.6	1.50	14.3	13.7	0.58
Scottie Pippen	72	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	9	-9	14.7	15.1	-0.40	14.3	14.1	0.17
Rick Brunson	11	13	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	-2	13	12.3	15.2	-2.91	12.7	14.5	-1.77
Derek Anderson	31	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	-2	13	15.1	14.7	0.35	14.0	14.4	-0.39
Ruben Patterson	46	45	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	9	-9	13.5	16.0	-2.46	14.3	14.2	0.10
Chris Dudley	15	14	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.11	-3	12	-15	14.5	14.9	-0.38	15.9	14.0	1.89

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	11	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-7	5	15.3	14.1	1.17	14.3	14.9	-0.62
Erick Strickland	1	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-7	5	7.0	14.3	-7.31	9.5	15.0	-5.47
Tony Delk	49	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-4	-1	14.1	14.3	-0.22	12.9	16.9	-3.95
Walter McCarty	11	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	11.2	14.6	-3.43	11.8	15.2	-3.40
Eric Williams	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-9	9	15.3	12.8	2.43	16.3	12.9	3.43
Rodney Rogers	46	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-5	1	13.8	14.6	-0.72	14.7	15.0	-0.22
Tony Battie	49	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-1	-7	14.6	13.9	0.63	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Antoine Walker	92	91	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-5	1	14.1	15.6	-1.44	15.0	13.2	1.75
Paul Pierce	93	93	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-5	1	14.0	17.5	-3.48	14.9	13.8	1.09
Kenny Anderson	86	84	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.29	-11	2	-13	14.3	13.7	0.62	15.5	11.5	3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.31,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.12,0.06,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 120, NJN 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	94.1%
LAL 122, WAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.5%
WAS 104, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0	93.5%