NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	4.0 [1007]		MVP	Brad Miller (IND): +12.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Comeback	1.7 [294]		LVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): -11.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	12	77%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.03	6	92%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	14	48%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Reggie Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	15	47%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jonathan Bender	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	11	42%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	18	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.03
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	14	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	0.05	19	52%	-0.04	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	26.3	15.5	24.6	2.3	29.9	122.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +51.5%

MIN -1.5%

IND +8.5%

MIN -8.3%

MIN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	16.8	15.2	15.6	108.9	94.4	102.3
season	15.3	15.0		101.6	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.4		103.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	15.9	17.0	20.4	16.8
MIN	15.7	15.4	16.5	13.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	76	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-4	21	16.9	16.4	0.51	15.7	12.4	3.38
Jamaal Tinsley	69	70	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.03	17	-4	21	16.7	17.0	-0.28	15.3	14.7	0.59
Austin Croshere	33	33	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	8	-3	18.0	16.1	1.96	14.8	15.4	-0.57
Metta World Peace	52	52	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.11	14	-1	15	16.0	17.9	-1.87	15.7	14.6	1.05
Reggie Miller	63	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	4	5	16.5	17.4	-0.83	14.9	15.9	-0.95
Jonathan Bender	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	10	-7	17.1	16.6	0.54	15.1	15.3	-0.26
Brad Miller	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	5	3	16.4	17.6	-1.17	15.1	15.5	-0.43
Jeff Foster	40	39	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.23	-4	17	-21	17.3	16.4	0.96	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Kevin Ollie	21	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	17	-21	17.0	16.7	0.28	14.7	15.3	-0.59

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	25	24	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-17	21	14.8	15.4	-0.51	17.2	16.7	0.52
Sam Mitchell	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-24	35	11.9	16.1	-4.19	20.8	15.6	5.16
Loren Woods	15	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.11	3	-16	19	12.3	15.8	-3.45	21.0	15.9	5.05
Felipe Lopez	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-10	7	12.5	15.6	-3.14	18.4	16.6	1.81
William Avery	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-8	3	15.1	15.2	-0.17	16.6	16.8	-0.28
Rasho Nesterovic	34	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-7	1	15.0	15.3	-0.34	15.9	17.3	-1.39
Anthony Peeler	42	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-4	-5	15.2	15.2	0.05	16.0	17.6	-1.67
Joe Smith	26	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-1	-11	17.7	14.2	3.49	15.4	17.4	-2.08
Wally Szczerbiak	76	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-7	1	15.1	15.9	-0.85	16.8	16.7	0.05
Chauncey Billups	75	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-5	-3	15.2	15.1	0.17	16.8	16.6	0.28
Kevin Garnett	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	-1	-11	15.6	13.6	1.93	17.0	15.7	1.34
Gary Trent	37	37	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.12	-22	9	-31	17.2	13.8	3.40	14.6	18.3	-3.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, SAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.3%
MEM 115, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	95.6%
SAS 127, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%