NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	115		Excitement	4.7 [901]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +16.2%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	1.8 [342]		LVP	Dahntay Jones (MEM): -9.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.00	0.02	14	73%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Eddie Jones	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	10	72%	0.14	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	14	57%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	71%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.07	19	67%	0.10	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	13	44%	-0.00	1	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Antonio Burks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dahntay Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.03	9	78%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	14	55%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	19	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.04	11	71%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.7	28.0	15.5	24.3	2.0	24.3	122.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +22.7%

MEM +5.9%

MEM +14.7%

MEM +11.2%

PHX -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	18.1	12.3	15.6	121.1	109.6	104.4
season	17.1	13.8		103.5	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.7		105.8	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.7	17.2	15.9	20.8	18.1
PHX	11.8	12.8	13.5	11.0	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	67	67	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-6	24	17.9	18.5	-0.60	12.5	11.8	0.72
Mike Miller	90	87	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-3	18	17.8	24.4	-6.63	12.5	10.0	2.52
Shane Battier	77	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-3	18	18.0	18.5	-0.47	12.7	10.6	2.05
Pau Gasol	78	79	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	-2	16	17.9	19.0	-1.08	12.7	10.6	2.06
Eddie Jones	49	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	2	8	18.3	17.9	0.35	11.8	12.9	-1.09
Bobby Jackson	52	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	11	-10	18.4	17.7	0.68	12.4	12.2	0.17
Lawrence Roberts	25	23	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	14	-16	17.9	18.2	-0.27	11.1	12.7	-1.59
Antonio Burks	4	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	15	-18	22.0	17.9	4.05	12.2	12.3	-0.08
Dahntay Jones	33	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.16	-8	20	-28	19.0	17.6	1.40	11.2	12.9	-1.70

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	51	51	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.14	9	-21	30	12.1	12.6	-0.42	17.8	18.5	-0.67
James Jones	42	43	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.17	9	-21	30	11.6	12.9	-1.37	18.7	17.6	1.11
Jim Jackson	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-16	20	12.8	12.2	0.58	18.2	18.1	0.12
Eddie House	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-10	8	11.4	12.5	-1.19	18.2	18.1	0.15
Shawn Marion	84	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-3	-6	12.3	12.2	0.15	18.2	17.0	1.25
Steve Nash	72	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	2	-16	12.7	11.1	1.56	18.0	18.6	-0.59
Leandro Barbosa	80	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	1	-14	12.4	11.6	0.81	18.3	16.8	1.47
Raja Bell	52	52	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.06	-20	8	-28	12.4	12.2	0.17	17.4	19.0	-1.53
Kurt Thomas	53	54	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.02	-24	12	-36	12.5	12.1	0.37	18.2	18.0	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 80, DAL 64	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
IND 98, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
SAS 127, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%