NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	4.4 [918]		MVP	Damon Jones (DET): +10.6%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	1.4 [1136]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): -14.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	78%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	26	50%	0.05	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
A.J. Guyton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.00	0.07	7	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.02	-0.06	9	53%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	16	64%	0.11	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	15	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	46%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	15	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	10	20%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.3	23.6	15.6	24.1	2.4	24.4	119.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +28.6%

CHI -0.4%

CHI -2.9%

DET +22.7%

DET +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.5	17.1	15.6	97.8	111.0	102.3
season	15.6	15.7		96.3	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		99.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	14.4	15.7	13.4	14.5
DET	18.1	15.0	17.0	18.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Guyton	30	31	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.07	7	-19	26	14.8	14.4	0.36	18.4	16.5	1.92
Tyson Chandler	61	62	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.13	7	-19	26	14.0	15.7	-1.70	17.6	16.0	1.59
Dalibor Bagaric	26	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-6	0	15.8	14.0	1.74	20.0	16.1	3.85
Fred Hoiberg	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-6	0	14.3	14.6	-0.30	17.7	16.8	0.87
Eddy Curry	34	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.00	-8	-4	-4	14.8	14.4	0.43	15.4	18.2	-2.77
Jalen Rose	86	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-6	0	14.5	14.8	-0.29	17.5	8.2	9.28
Trenton Hassell	77	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-6	0	14.3	15.6	-1.32	16.6	19.9	-3.32
Marcus Fizer	45	43	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.07	-23	11	-34	14.9	14.2	0.71	15.9	18.2	-2.39
Travis Best	61	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.08	-19	7	-26	14.4	14.8	-0.36	16.5	18.4	-1.92

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	73	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	0	12	16.4	20.1	-3.73	14.4	15.1	-0.66
Jon Barry	82	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.16	12	0	12	16.8	20.2	-3.44	14.3	16.0	-1.70
Ben Wallace	74	73	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	8	-4	17.1	17.2	-0.07	14.6	14.3	0.31
Corliss Williamson	48	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	4	4	16.7	17.6	-0.96	14.5	14.5	0.01
Chucky Atkins	44	44	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	4	4	17.6	16.7	0.87	15.2	13.9	1.22
Damon Jones	47	48	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	8	-4	16.7	17.6	-0.87	13.7	15.5	-1.82
Michael Curry	52	54	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	8	-4	18.1	15.8	2.23	14.9	14.1	0.80
Zeljko Rebraca	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	4	4	18.7	16.1	2.54	15.1	14.2	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 86, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
LAC 88, SEA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.6,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
OKC 90, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%