NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	9.7 [60]		MVP	Baron Davis (CHH): +27.2%
Charlotte Hornets	94		Comeback	8.2 [226]		LVP	Rick Fox (LAL): -27.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.25	0.07	0.19	0.01	18	63%	0.27	1	-0.02	13	54%	-0.05
Kobe Bryant	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.09,-0.25,-0.14,-0.3,0.07	-0.11	0.17	-0.00	19	48%	0.41	5	-0.34	6	83%	0.04
Devean George	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Horry	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	10	50%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Slava Medvedenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.28,-0.28	-0.06	-0.22	0.00	9	33%	-0.13	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.14	-0.01	21	70%	0.36	3	-0.09	11	64%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.01	8	85%	0.27	3	-0.14	4	75%	-0.06
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	8	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	9	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	29.6	15.6	26.2	2.4	33.2	131.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.9%

LAL +29.8%

CHH -3.1%

CHH -32.3%

LAL +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHH	NBA	LAL	CHH	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.6	105.5	102.2	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		106.9	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		101.1	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.7	15.3	15.6	15.3	15.5
CHH	16.3	14.1	16.4	17.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	72	73	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.48	14	-12	26	15.0	17.4	-2.45	17.3	11.0	6.29
Rick Fox	57	58	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.54	11	-9	20	15.0	16.3	-1.25	16.8	14.6	2.22
Robert Horry	71	73	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.56	7	-5	12	14.7	18.3	-3.67	16.6	13.5	3.10
Kobe Bryant	83	84	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.44	-1	3	-4	15.6	14.4	1.22	16.1	14.5	1.63
Devean George	46	46	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	5	-8	15.3	15.7	-0.36	16.0	16.0	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	38	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.14	7	-5	12	15.4	15.6	-0.20	17.6	14.9	2.75
Derek Fisher	33	34	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.27	-7	9	-16	17.1	14.6	2.47	12.4	18.1	-5.77
Mitch Richmond	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	3	-4	13.4	16.0	-2.62	15.3	16.1	-0.85
Slava Medvedenko	5	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	4	-6	21.4	15.1	6.26	9.2	16.4	-7.18
Mark Madsen	17	16	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.15	-3	5	-8	17.1	15.1	2.01	14.7	16.2	-1.50

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	18	20	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.14	-2	0	-2	15.2	16.2	-0.95	16.0	15.3	0.73
Jamaal Magloire	42	40	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-7	12	15.1	16.7	-1.56	15.6	15.4	0.25
Bryce Drew	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-2	2	2.0	16.1	-14.14	1.0	15.6	-14.64
Stacey Augmon	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	1	-4	14.5	16.1	-1.63	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Lee Nailon	48	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	1	-4	15.8	16.2	-0.33	15.7	15.2	0.50
George Lynch	64	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-3	4	15.8	16.5	-0.73	15.1	16.2	-1.12
Elden Campbell	42	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	2	-6	17.5	14.7	2.78	16.1	15.0	1.11
Baron Davis	92	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	16.0	0.0	15.99	15.5	0.0	15.48
P.J. Brown	61	59	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.59	-3	1	-4	16.3	15.3	1.05	15.2	16.0	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.62,0.71,0.55,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 115, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.85,0	90.9%
TOR 92, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.72,0.59,0.75,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.73,0	90.3%
PHX 104, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.42,0	89.8%