NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	8.4 [205]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +29.1%
Washington Wizards	99		Comeback	10.9 [85]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -33.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.29	0.19	0.10	0.00	16	80%	0.47	2	-0.18	3	100%	0.03
Steve Nash	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.11	0.01	13	58%	0.20	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
James Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.03	0.00	13	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Raja Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	14	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	14	39%	0.00	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Eddie House	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	7	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.14	-0.02	9	61%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	6	85%	0.15	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.09	0.00	17	51%	0.20	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.2	-0.20	-0.01	-0.19	0.01	16	59%	0.08	5	-0.28	5	80%	0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.15,-0.33	-0.33	-0.20	-0.15	-0.01	23	32%	-0.24	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.3	27.3	15.4	26.4	1.8	33.2	131.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +11.1%

PHX +12.0%

PHX +2.9%

PHX +26.0%

WAS -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	15.6	106.1	102.1	104.4
season	13.8	15.1		110.2	107.4
opponent	15.6	16.1		105.5	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.5	14.0	15.2	15.0	14.1
WAS	15.2	18.1	14.2	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	83	82	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.41	17	-12	29	14.1	14.4	-0.32	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Boris Diaw	83	81	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.45	9	-4	13	13.8	16.1	-2.36	15.2	16.4	-1.23
Shawn Marion	85	84	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-4	13	13.7	16.7	-2.95	15.2	16.6	-1.39
Raja Bell	80	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-3	11	14.6	11.9	2.68	15.0	17.2	-2.14
James Jones	61	61	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.45	1	4	-3	13.9	14.5	-0.57	15.6	15.1	0.43
Jim Jackson	10	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	9	-13	13.9	14.2	-0.26	17.9	15.1	2.77
Kurt Thomas	44	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	8	-11	15.1	13.3	1.82	15.6	15.3	0.26
Pat Burke	14	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.09	-2	7	-9	14.6	14.0	0.60	16.5	15.2	1.25
Eddie House	30	29	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.17	-10	15	-25	13.9	14.2	-0.38	15.9	15.2	0.64

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	41	40	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.13	3	-8	11	16.0	15.0	0.93	14.3	14.0	0.24
Brendan Haywood	28	30	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-11	17	15.0	15.6	-0.63	15.4	13.6	1.83
Etan Thomas	52	52	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.12	-1	-4	3	15.8	14.9	0.94	13.5	14.8	-1.27
Antawn Jamison	82	82	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.38	8	-13	21	15.3	16.3	-1.01	14.0	14.9	-0.96
Michael Ruffin	28	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	2	-9	15.3	15.5	-0.18	15.5	13.6	1.86
Jared Jeffries	57	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-4	3	15.4	15.5	-0.11	14.2	14.0	0.27
Chucky Atkins	45	45	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	2	-9	15.7	15.2	0.52	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Caron Butler	77	79	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	5	-15	15.3	15.8	-0.55	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Gilbert Arenas	75	77	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.46	-16	11	-27	15.2	16.2	-1.00	14.1	14.3	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.78,0.67,0.15,0	91.1%
SAC 102, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.78,0.58,0	91.0%
MEM 91, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.68,0.42,0	90.7%