NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	10.3 [82]		MVP	Walter Lemon Jr. (CHI): +79.3%
Washington Wizards	114		Comeback	9.9 [83]		LVP	Jordan McRae (WAS): -26.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter Lemon Jr.	0.79	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.04,0.79	0.07	0.70	-0.02	16	71%	0.89	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.19
Shaquille Harrison	0.24	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.14,0.24	0.04	0.21	0.01	13	58%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	11	69%	0.22	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	8	65%	0.16	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	4	50%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	75%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Selden	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Alkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Brandon Sampson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.36	0.36	0.07	0.29	0.00	7	65%	0.36	0	0.00	3	67%	0.08
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.42,0.42,0.32	0.32	0.13	0.19	0.00	11	71%	0.36	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.19	-0.00	12	52%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	18	54%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	18	51%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	40%	0.00	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	7	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	17%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.26	-0.26	0.00	-0.27	-0.00	11	54%	-0.17	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.0	26.0	14.5	27.4	2.4	36.6	133.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +58.9%

CHI +22.5%

WAS -11.6%

WAS -15.3%

WAS -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	13.9	13.4	14.3	108.5	108.6	109.3
season	14.6	13.8		104.2	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.3		112.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.7	14.6	13.3	15.2	13.9
WAS	13.9	12.5	11.1	16.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaKarr Sampson	64	62	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.57	11	-10	21	13.8	14.0	-0.27	13.8	12.8	1.05
Walter Lemon Jr.	64	64	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.54	4	-3	7	13.8	14.0	-0.11	13.4	13.4	-0.01
Shaquille Harrison	74	73	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.52	3	-2	5	13.7	14.2	-0.52	13.5	13.2	0.27
Rawle Alkins	56	55	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.49	3	-2	5	14.5	13.2	1.30	13.6	13.2	0.36
Cristiano Felicio	48	50	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.53	-1	2	-3	14.7	13.2	1.46	14.1	12.8	1.28
Robin Lopez	58	55	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	-1	3	13.2	14.7	-1.46	12.8	14.1	-1.28
Brandon Sampson	27	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.08	1	0	1	14.8	13.6	1.20	14.5	13.0	1.49
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	61	59	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	4	-7	13.1	15.0	-1.90	12.5	14.6	-2.10
Ryan Arcidiacono	42	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	4	-7	14.0	13.8	0.11	13.4	13.4	0.01
Wayne Selden	36	38	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.10	-12	13	-25	14.1	13.8	0.38	12.9	13.7	-0.77

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	56	57	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.05	5	-6	11	12.4	14.5	-2.06	13.0	14.9	-1.84
Bradley Beal	51	53	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.02	5	-6	11	12.7	14.1	-1.44	13.3	14.5	-1.17
Tomas Satoransky	58	59	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.11	-1	0	-1	12.7	14.3	-1.69	13.3	14.7	-1.39
Jabari Parker	26	27	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-2	3	12.5	13.7	-1.16	13.7	13.9	-0.20
Sam Dekker	64	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.54	3	-4	7	13.6	13.2	0.39	14.9	12.3	2.64
Jordan McRae	61	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.54	2	-3	5	13.8	12.8	0.98	14.1	13.5	0.61
Thomas Bryant	85	84	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.49	-5	4	-9	13.7	12.1	1.62	14.0	13.4	0.66
Troy Brown Jr.	78	79	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.39	-9	8	-17	13.9	11.9	2.10	13.4	15.2	-1.79
Chasson Randle	46	46	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.55	-6	5	-11	14.6	12.5	2.13	15.2	12.8	2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 105, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.61,0.47,0.64,0.68,0.92,0	91.5%
SAS 91, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.84,0	91.0%
BOS 90, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.67,0.73,0	91.0%