NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	8.5 [173]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +10.6%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	8.9 [163]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -40.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.17,0.11	-0.01	0.12	-0.00	14	48%	0.17	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Jarron Collins	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	14	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Rusty LaRue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	7	44%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	1	17%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	4	10%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Karl Malone	-0.40	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.28,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.24,-0.33,-0.36,-0.32,-0.32,-0.29,-0.3,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.17	-0.22	0.01	23	47%	-0.20	6	-0.20	12	50%	-0.08

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	64%	0.13	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.10	-0.00	16	64%	-0.00	3	-0.06	13	92%	0.06
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.08	0.02	9	50%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	0.01	5	33%	-0.12	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.00	13	39%	-0.22	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	30.0	15.8	28.7	1.8	36.2	138.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +25.6%

NYK -27.5%

UTA +53.8%

UTA +3.8%

NYK -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.6	102.2	97.8	102.3
season	16.1	15.9		102.9	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.1		103.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.4	16.7	16.2	14.0	16.3
NYK	13.1	16.8	15.1	17.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	66	68	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.43	9	-6	15	16.4	16.0	0.37	15.1	16.7	-1.52
John Starks	62	65	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.36	11	-8	19	15.8	17.5	-1.73	16.0	14.3	1.69
Karl Malone	78	80	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-6	15	16.2	17.3	-1.18	15.3	17.3	-2.00
Scott Padgett	47	46	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.46	5	-2	7	15.1	17.6	-2.48	16.7	14.3	2.38
John Stockton	61	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.55	-4	7	-11	16.4	16.1	0.36	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Rusty LaRue	29	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.14	7	-4	11	16.1	16.4	-0.36	15.8	15.4	0.41
Quincy Lewis	9	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	5	-7	16.3	16.3	0.02	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Andrei Kirilenko	38	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	4	-5	18.2	15.0	3.20	14.4	16.4	-2.03
Greg Ostertag	20	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	9	-15	16.5	16.3	0.24	15.9	15.4	0.53
Bryon Russell	40	40	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.06	-13	16	-29	16.8	15.9	0.92	15.6	15.4	0.24

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felton Spencer	11	11	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.00	6	-9	15	16.5	15.4	1.17	17.2	16.2	0.99
Shandon Anderson	41	38	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.09	2	-5	7	16.4	14.8	1.59	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Mark Jackson	42	43	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-7	11	14.6	16.3	-1.62	17.2	15.5	1.68
Travis Knight	9	9	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-3	3	15.2	15.5	-0.33	14.1	16.6	-2.44
Othella Harrington	17	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	2	-7	16.2	15.4	0.81	15.6	16.5	-0.91
Latrell Sprewell	84	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.45	-1	-2	1	15.5	15.4	0.10	16.3	16.7	-0.44
Kurt Thomas	71	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	0	-3	15.1	17.1	-2.09	17.1	13.4	3.73
Clar. Weatherspoon	72	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	2	-7	15.6	15.1	0.52	16.0	17.6	-1.62
Charlie Ward	49	47	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.40	-7	4	-11	16.3	14.6	1.62	15.5	17.2	-1.68
Allan Houston	59	60	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.49	-6	3	-9	15.0	16.5	-1.52	16.4	16.1	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.74,0.65,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 103, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.76,0.71,0.76,0.31,0	91.4%
ORL 97, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.09,0	91.0%
SAS 89, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.68,0.15,0	90.9%