NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	100		Excitement	7.5 [328]		MVP	Corie Blount (PHI): +20.0%
Charlotte Hornets	93		Comeback	2.3 [541]		LVP	Matt Harpring (PHI): -21.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.09	-0.00	8	88%	0.23	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14	0.01	0.08	-0.05	30	57%	0.34	6	-0.20	3	33%	-0.04
Samuel Dalembert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.01	8	54%	0.05	2	-0.09	8	87%	0.03
Speedy Claxton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	8	46%	-0.13	3	-0.08	10	80%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.06	-0.14	0.01	18	41%	-0.19	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	65%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	15	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	54%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.10	-0.00	14	53%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	39%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	22	44%	0.00	4	-0.12	8	50%	-0.05
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	5	50%	-0.04	2	-0.10	8	62%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.7	27.2	18.4	24.5	2.4	32.5	134.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +21.5%

PHI +11.9%

PHI +25.2%

CHH -7.9%

CHH -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHH	NBA	PHI	CHH	NBA
this game	15.2	14.6	15.6	102.0	97.9	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		99.3	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.1	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	16.4	13.6	15.7	15.2
CHH	13.7	12.4	18.5	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	87	84	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.27	13	-6	19	14.9	17.4	-2.43	15.1	11.3	3.80
Allen Iverson	92	88	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-2	11	15.0	18.0	-2.98	14.8	12.0	2.84
Corie Blount	80	77	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	2	3	15.2	15.1	0.11	14.4	15.5	-1.07
Samuel Dalembert	15	15	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	1	5	13.1	15.6	-2.52	18.1	14.0	4.08
Dikembe Mutombo	88	84	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	6	-5	15.6	11.6	4.01	14.2	18.2	-4.02
Derrick McKey	20	20	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.13	4	3	1	14.5	15.4	-0.88	15.6	14.4	1.23
Speedy Claxton	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	8	-9	15.0	15.3	-0.25	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Matt Harpring	77	75	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	9	-11	15.9	12.6	3.29	14.1	16.7	-2.62

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	4	5	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-8	9	17.7	14.5	3.26	19.6	15.0	4.63
Stacey Augmon	13	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	14.3	14.7	-0.38	17.4	14.8	2.51
P.J. Brown	59	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-1	-5	15.6	13.1	2.45	13.8	17.4	-3.66
Jamaal Magloire	32	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-5	3	13.6	15.2	-1.56	16.4	14.6	1.83
Baron Davis	84	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-6	5	14.8	13.0	1.85	15.4	13.4	2.07
George Lynch	61	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	4	-15	14.9	14.2	0.62	15.3	15.1	0.22
Elden Campbell	68	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	14.9	13.9	0.99	15.0	15.8	-0.84
Bryce Drew	66	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-4	1	13.8	16.6	-2.76	15.4	14.8	0.63
Lee Nailon	88	91	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	-8	1	-9	14.4	18.1	-3.79	14.9	19.3	-4.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.68,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.2,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.45,0.21,0.1,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.15,0.23,0.04,0	92.1%
LAL 93, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.1,0.18,0.34,0.27,0.15,0.07,0.06,0,0	91.5%
NJN 111, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.38,0.06,0.1,0.09,0	91.2%