NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	6.4 [522]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +20.0%
Utah Jazz	87		Comeback	2.5 [110]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -15.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.12	0.00	29	60%	0.26	3	-0.06	9	67%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Samaki Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Robert Horry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	12	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Tracy Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.01	0.08	11	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.10	0.01	19	53%	-0.07	1	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	6	19%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.7	27.2	16.6	25.2	1.8	37.0	136.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +51.0%

LAL +11.4%

UTA -15.2%

LAL +0.7%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	16.2	15.5	108.1	98.9	101.6
season	15.4	16.3		105.0	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.1		101.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.6	16.5	15.2	18.6	16.9
UTA	19.4	14.9	15.4	15.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	41	42	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-3	12	16.1	17.7	-1.57	17.2	15.3	1.95
Brian Shaw	28	28	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-7	20	16.3	17.2	-0.89	19.8	14.5	5.27
Robert Horry	69	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	0	6	16.9	17.1	-0.25	15.2	20.4	-5.16
Mark Madsen	36	38	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-6	18	16.8	17.0	-0.19	19.1	14.0	5.17
Kobe Bryant	73	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	4	-2	16.9	17.2	-0.37	15.5	19.7	-4.19
Kareem Rush	13	14	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	2	2	17.2	16.9	0.37	19.7	15.5	4.19
Slava Medvedenko	34	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	5	-4	16.1	17.5	-1.42	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Derek Fisher	58	60	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	13	-20	17.2	16.3	0.89	14.5	19.8	-5.27
Rick Fox	60	61	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	11	-16	17.8	14.9	2.92	14.8	19.3	-4.48
Samaki Walker	13	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	18.4	16.7	1.73	20.5	15.5	4.99
Tracy Murray	5	5	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	11	-16	16.6	16.9	-0.34	8.8	16.6	-7.84

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	54	54	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.28	15	-21	36	14.5	18.9	-4.48	17.6	15.8	1.81
John Stockton	57	57	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.28	12	-18	30	14.4	19.6	-5.23	17.5	15.8	1.65
John Amaechi	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-4	2	19.8	15.9	3.91	15.2	17.0	-1.88
Matt Harpring	66	66	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.28	6	-12	18	15.7	17.8	-2.17	16.8	17.3	-0.56
Scott Padgett	31	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-7	8	15.9	16.4	-0.45	17.4	16.6	0.80
Karl Malone	72	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.27	4	-10	14	15.1	21.1	-6.03	16.9	17.2	-0.34
DeShawn Stevenson	24	22	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	6	-18	17.2	15.8	1.45	16.1	17.2	-1.05
Greg Ostertag	53	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	9	-24	18.1	13.3	4.73	16.7	17.3	-0.57
Mark Jackson	31	29	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.05	-18	12	-30	19.6	14.4	5.23	15.8	17.5	-1.65
Andrei Kirilenko	46	44	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.20	-21	15	-36	17.7	14.5	3.19	16.9	16.9	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.1,0.18,0.34,0.27,0.15,0.07,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	92.5%
CHI 95, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	92.5%
POR 103, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.1%