inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 96 Excitement7.9 [250] MVPMoochie Norris (HOU): +19.2%
Houston Rockets 100 Comeback211.8 [10] LVPLarry Hughes (GSW): -36.6%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Erick Dampier0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.030.00862%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Chris Mills0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.040.06-0.010.011065%0.061-0.023100%0.02
Troy Murphy0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00657%0.0200.002100%0.01
Adonal Foyle0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.01460%0.0100.0020%-0.04
Jason Richardson0.010,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.030.011455%0.093-0.0810%-0.01
Danny Fortson-0.080,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.001040%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Bob Sura-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2-0.08-0.13-0.011533%-0.2000.00333%-0.03
Antawn Jamison-0.230,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23-0.17-0.08-0.031219%-0.192-0.03250%-0.01
Larry Hughes-0.370,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.27,-0.19,-0.36,-0.37-0.19-0.180.001646%0.008-0.37560%-0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.190.19-0.020.210.00664%0.273-0.082100%0.01
Kenny Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.130.130.010.12-0.001562%0.223-0.09771%-0.01
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.060.060.040.040.01867%0.091-0.032100%0.01
Terence Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.032356%0.114-0.141385%0.04
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.00440%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Oscar Torres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Eddie Griffin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.040.011030%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.09-0.100.011541%-0.113-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.81.727.416.523.31.634.01.616.3147.1
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.01.716.7149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +45.5%
HOU +14.9%
GSW -11.1%
HOU +7.8%
GSW -7.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWHOUNBAGSWHOUNBA
this game16.115.215.696.097.1102.3
season14.716.8100.7100.9
opponent15.215.1106.4106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW15.614.413.723.213.216.1
HOU17.113.918.213.411.815.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adonal Foyle36380.29-0.791.080.087-111813.917.3-3.4317.114.12.97
Danny Fortson44470.18-0.680.860.064-81214.017.7-3.6916.614.12.43
Troy Murphy3434-0.03-0.470.45-0.061-5617.415.42.0213.915.9-1.97
Jason Richardson7075-0.15-0.350.20-0.305-91414.619.7-5.1816.212.63.56
Chris Mills5456-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-40-417.214.82.3814.116.6-2.58
Bob Sura5757-0.600.10-0.70-0.42-62-817.314.52.8414.216.6-2.41
Antawn Jamison7476-0.620.12-0.73-0.50-40-415.717.3-1.6715.215.3-0.09
Erick Dampier4848-0.640.14-0.79-0.23-1410-2418.414.04.4415.415.10.38
Larry Hughes8384-0.660.16-0.81-0.39-95-1416.414.61.8314.717.4-2.68

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Moochie Norris61600.74-0.240.980.518-41213.318.1-4.7916.715.21.56
Kenny Thomas97940.57-0.070.640.338-41215.511.73.7916.411.84.55
Steve Francis98940.52-0.020.540.356-2815.313.02.3516.115.80.29
Kelvin Cato60580.430.070.370.237-31016.713.23.5116.016.3-0.26
Cuttino Mobley85830.110.39-0.28-0.0040415.514.01.4916.812.93.89
Terence Morris13110.100.40-0.290.0231214.615.3-0.7116.716.00.69
Eddie Griffin4949-0.030.53-0.560.12-59-1416.114.41.7014.018.2-4.18
Oscar Torres1010-0.110.61-0.720.06-610-1615.615.20.4113.116.4-3.34
Kevin Willis3029-0.340.84-1.18-0.08-913-2214.515.5-1.0317.815.42.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.66,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 107, DET 1100.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.58,191.2%
PHX 117, UTA 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.58,190.8%
IND 103, CHA 1070.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.22,0.05,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.84,190.8%