NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	9.2 [100]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): +27.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	107		Comeback	77.7 [13]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -18.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.00	10	77%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Owens	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	-0.03	0.05	9	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	56%	0.09	4	-0.09	9	78%	0.03
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	64%	0.25	5	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.06	0.04	16	53%	0.01	7	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.19	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.18,-0.13,-0.19	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	26	38%	0.01	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.28	0.28	-0.03	0.31	0.00	11	38%	0.28	0	0.00	4	50%	0.04
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	9	44%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.03,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.08	0.03	18	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.3,-0.3,-0.15,-0.22,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.05	0.03	21	56%	0.10	4	-0.12	22	73%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	35%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.7	2.6	27.2	15.7	26.1	2.4	39.4	2.4	15.8	157.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -27.4%

CHA +28.9%

CHA +12.1%

CHA +46.0%

IND -9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	16.0	15.4	99.0	104.9	105.7
season	13.8	15.8		104.5	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.2		107.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	14.0	12.2	14.2	19.0	15.1	14.9
CHA	17.4	17.8	15.8	12.3	18.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	71	70	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.13	6	-10	16	14.5	15.5	-1.00	16.1	15.9	0.21
Mike Dunleavy	69	67	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.09	4	-8	12	14.3	15.9	-1.58	16.8	14.5	2.29
Jeff Foster	24	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	1	-6	13.6	15.2	-1.67	16.5	15.9	0.55
Travis Diener	3	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	0	-4	13.3	14.9	-1.58	14.2	16.1	-1.84
Ike Diogu	10	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	1	-6	12.8	15.1	-2.29	17.6	15.9	1.68
Jermaine O'Neal	84	84	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.46	6	-10	16	15.2	13.5	1.63	15.7	17.4	-1.73
Danny Granger	91	89	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-8	12	14.8	15.2	-0.42	16.0	16.1	-0.07
Andre Owens	87	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.42	0	-4	4	15.1	13.4	1.74	15.8	17.4	-1.60
Marquis Daniels	56	55	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.40	-14	10	-24	15.8	13.8	2.03	15.6	16.5	-0.91
Shawne Williams	25	25	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.53	-12	8	-20	15.5	14.7	0.86	16.0	16.0	-0.08

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	81	83	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	0	4	16.1	15.9	0.20	14.9	14.6	0.37
Emeka Okafor	68	68	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.54	1	3	-2	15.4	17.2	-1.82	15.0	14.7	0.30
Gerald Wallace	93	96	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	0	4	15.7	19.3	-3.63	15.4	9.0	6.35
Matt Carroll	46	49	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.22	11	-7	18	15.3	16.6	-1.26	15.2	14.6	0.64
Raymond Felton	77	78	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	7	-10	15.6	17.4	-1.83	15.2	14.0	1.21
Jared Dudley	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	4	-4	19.3	15.7	3.63	9.0	15.4	-6.35
Derek Anderson	20	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.08	2	2	0	16.7	15.8	0.91	13.9	15.1	-1.20
Nazr Mohammed	34	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.15	3	1	2	17.2	15.4	1.82	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Jeff McInnis	64	63	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.10	-10	14	-24	16.2	15.8	0.37	14.4	15.6	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.22,0.05,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 133, MIL 138	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.84,1	91.0%
CHA 107, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.58,1	90.9%
GSW 96, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.66,0.96,1	90.8%