NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	6.5 [499]		MVP	Jeff Foster (IND): +10.9%
San Antonio Spurs	82		Comeback	2.0 [257]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -20.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.03	11	64%	0.11	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.01	0.09	-0.03	8	53%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	33%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	15	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	4	10%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.02
Carlos Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.03	6	68%	-0.00	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.01
Al Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	15	47%	0.00	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	11	32%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	8	45%	-0.10	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.08

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	42%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	43%	-0.04	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.04	-0.06	18	48%	0.08	6	-0.21	10	100%	0.07
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	8	45%	-0.09	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	27.4	16.4	26.4	2.3	33.6	133.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +35.7%

SAS -8.9%

IND +15.8%

IND +4.8%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAS	NBA	IND	SAS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.6	95.8	88.2	102.3
season	15.3	15.8		101.6	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		98.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	15.4	17.9	13.6	15.1
SAS	14.8	16.6	15.5	14.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	61	60	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.31	21	-11	32	15.8	14.0	1.82	15.8	14.5	1.30
Reggie Miller	66	64	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-4	18	15.5	14.2	1.30	15.4	15.3	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	51	51	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-5	20	14.2	16.2	-1.94	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Al Harrington	70	66	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	6	-2	15.0	15.4	-0.36	15.4	15.3	0.13
Austin Croshere	50	48	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	7	-4	14.0	16.4	-2.39	15.9	14.8	1.12
Jermaine O'Neal	66	65	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	1	8	14.9	15.5	-0.59	14.8	16.6	-1.74
Travis Best	24	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	12	-14	14.7	15.2	-0.50	15.9	15.2	0.67
Jalen Rose	51	50	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	10	-10	16.8	13.3	3.50	15.1	15.7	-0.64
Jonathan Bender	30	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	14	-18	14.2	15.5	-1.30	15.3	15.4	-0.01
Carlos Rogers	11	10	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.01	-10	20	-30	15.8	15.0	0.78	13.8	15.5	-1.74

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	41	42	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.08	12	-22	34	13.5	16.8	-3.30	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Mark Bryant	21	20	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.08	5	-15	20	14.4	15.6	-1.20	15.6	15.0	0.66
Terry Porter	38	38	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.04	5	-15	20	15.2	15.5	-0.24	15.1	15.2	-0.08
Antonio Daniels	39	39	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.10	6	-16	22	14.6	15.9	-1.32	15.3	15.0	0.35
Bruce Bowen	33	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-4	-2	17.0	14.5	2.50	17.5	13.8	3.67
Tim Duncan	79	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-4	-2	15.1	17.0	-1.94	15.3	13.9	1.40
Charles Smith	34	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	13.6	16.4	-2.78	12.2	16.9	-4.64
Tony Parker	55	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	5	-20	15.5	15.2	0.24	15.2	15.1	0.08
Steven Smith	65	68	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.25	-18	8	-26	16.1	13.5	2.60	15.2	15.0	0.13
David Robinson	60	62	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.24	-24	14	-38	17.1	12.2	4.87	15.2	15.1	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.51,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.08,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 118, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.37,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.26,0.4,0.18,0.1,0,0,0,0	91.6%
SAS 88, LAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0,0	91.5%
DAL 95, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.05,0	91.3%