NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	3.7 [1042]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +9.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	84		Comeback	1.2 [608]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -16.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	22	56%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	10	70%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	92%	0.06	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Morris Peterson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Chris Childs	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Antonio Davis	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	10	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	64%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	9	74%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	52%	-0.02	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-0.02	26	37%	-0.10	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	0.2	24.9	14.8	24.3	2.4	29.2	120.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +43.1%

TOR +2.4%

POR -4.0%

TOR +8.0%

TOR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	16.0	15.6	104.4	92.3	102.3
season	16.2	16.0		100.3	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.6		102.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.3	12.8	15.2	18.9	15.7
POR	14.4	17.9	14.8	17.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	74	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-5	21	15.9	14.8	1.04	15.8	16.8	-0.98
Antonio Davis	76	77	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.03	14	-3	17	16.1	13.6	2.48	15.9	16.6	-0.79
Keon Clark	41	43	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	1	9	16.6	14.9	1.67	16.0	15.9	0.09
Alvin Williams	49	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	-1	13	16.0	15.3	0.63	15.4	16.6	-1.19
Morris Peterson	44	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	4	3	15.3	16.0	-0.73	15.6	16.3	-0.66
Chris Childs	50	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	7	-3	15.9	15.4	0.55	17.0	14.8	2.21
Dell Curry	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	11	-11	14.0	17.5	-3.49	16.2	15.7	0.44
Jerome Williams	51	49	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	9	-7	14.5	17.1	-2.60	15.9	16.0	-0.13
Eric Montross	12	11	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.12	-1	12	-13	13.9	15.9	-2.02	17.7	15.7	1.99
Tracy Murray	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	23.0	15.2	7.85	16.5	15.9	0.56
Carlos Arroyo	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	21.0	15.6	5.45	11.5	16.1	-4.58
Michael Bradley	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	21.0	15.6	5.45	11.5	16.1	-4.58

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	3	3	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-13	15	12.7	16.1	-3.42	12.3	15.8	-3.45
Chris Dudley	14	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-15	19	12.1	16.7	-4.62	17.7	15.3	2.47
Rick Brunson	4	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-12	13	16.0	16.0	0.02	13.7	15.8	-2.01
Shawn Kemp	30	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-9	7	16.1	15.9	0.23	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Steve Kerr	41	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-12	13	15.4	16.4	-1.03	13.1	17.6	-4.50
Ruben Patterson	25	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-6	1	15.6	16.1	-0.58	15.0	15.9	-0.94
Bonzi Wells	64	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-2	-7	16.3	15.3	1.02	15.8	15.4	0.35
Scottie Pippen	59	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-2	-7	16.3	15.4	0.83	16.7	13.5	3.16
Dale Davis	70	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-1	-9	16.8	13.2	3.56	15.3	16.9	-1.60
Damon Stoudamire	80	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	1	-13	15.9	16.3	-0.34	16.4	11.3	5.09
Rasheed Wallace	65	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	5	-21	16.0	15.9	0.13	15.8	15.2	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 97, HOU 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	96.1%
ORL 104, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
MIL 88, PHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%