NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	4.9 [840]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +9.3%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	1.2 [1209]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -14.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	15	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	8	72%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.02	6	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
Elton Brand	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	9	42%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	11	9%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	13	43%	-0.06	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	84%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	14	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	22	46%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	18	39%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	7	61%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brent Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	0.04	15	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	25.6	16.6	24.1	2.4	27.7	121.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +37.5%

LAC -7.3%

LAC -0.9%

SAC +17.8%

SAC +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.6	97.8	109.4	102.3
season	15.9	14.2		103.6	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.4	17.7	12.3	14.2	15.1
SAC	13.7	14.4	17.7	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	9	10	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-16	18	13.4	15.2	-1.81	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Eldridge Recasner	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	8.6	15.4	-6.84	14.7	15.4	-0.78
Earl Boykins	17	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-13	12	19.1	14.2	4.95	14.8	15.5	-0.71
Eric Piatkowski	22	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	-6	-2	18.3	14.1	4.19	15.7	15.3	0.35
Darius Miles	54	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-14	14	13.3	17.5	-4.20	15.7	15.0	0.65
Quentin Richardson	42	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-12	10	14.6	15.5	-0.88	15.4	15.4	0.03
Corey Maggette	44	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-8	2	15.4	14.8	0.55	15.1	15.7	-0.62
Elton Brand	56	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	5	-24	17.4	11.6	5.74	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Jeff McInnis	71	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	2	-18	14.6	16.7	-2.16	15.6	14.8	0.81
Michael Olowokandi	67	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	-3	-8	14.8	15.8	-0.96	15.3	15.6	-0.30
Lamar Odom	78	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	-2	-10	14.3	19.3	-5.00	15.5	14.8	0.71

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	71	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.19	23	-9	32	15.3	15.6	-0.22	16.7	10.6	6.07
Peja Stojakovic	74	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-1	16	15.4	15.3	0.16	14.7	16.2	-1.46
Mike Bibby	61	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	0	14	15.1	15.8	-0.68	15.1	15.0	0.12
Scot Pollard	49	48	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	5	4	14.4	16.4	-2.02	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Vlade Divac	53	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	6	2	15.6	15.1	0.46	15.5	14.6	0.92
Chris Webber	71	72	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	4	6	16.1	13.4	2.70	15.6	13.2	2.37
Lawrence Funderburke	13	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	10	-6	14.8	15.5	-0.72	13.8	15.2	-1.43
Hedo Turkoglu	45	45	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	15	-16	15.8	15.0	0.76	13.6	16.4	-2.82
Bobby Jackson	29	30	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	11	-8	16.1	15.1	0.96	16.1	14.6	1.46
Brent Price	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	12.7	15.5	-2.76	8.5	15.4	-6.87
Gerald Wallace	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	12.7	15.5	-2.76	8.5	15.4	-6.87
Mateen Cleaves	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	14.7	15.4	-0.78	8.6	15.4	-6.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 77, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NYK 88, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DAL 82, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%