NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	94		Excitement	5.0 [818]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +8.0%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	2.4 [513]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -15.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	11	73%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	11	71%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	57%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	16	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	11	42%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	69%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	64%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	16	62%	0.05	3	-0.06	15	60%	-0.04
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	14	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	1.8	29.3	15.7	27.2	2.4	41.3	137.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +20.6%

IND +11.4%

IND +12.7%

IND +4.6%

IND +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.6	101.1	106.4	102.3
season	14.7	15.3		101.4	101.6
opponent	15.4	16.0		100.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.6	16.7	16.0	13.2	15.6
IND	16.9	14.7	13.3	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Dial	11	11	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.15	9	-15	24	14.8	15.7	-0.86	17.0	15.0	2.01
Aaron Williams	41	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-9	12	15.8	15.4	0.31	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Jason Collins	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-10	14	14.0	16.3	-2.33	16.1	14.8	1.29
Richard Jefferson	50	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.31	7	-13	20	14.1	17.3	-3.16	15.2	15.3	-0.07
Lucious Harris	54	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-11	16	14.6	16.9	-2.27	15.4	14.9	0.51
Keith Van Horn	59	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-1	-4	15.8	15.2	0.64	15.4	14.9	0.50
Todd MacCulloch	36	35	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.07	-17	11	-28	17.0	14.7	2.36	15.3	15.2	0.10
Kenyon Martin	63	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	4	-14	16.3	14.0	2.33	14.8	16.1	-1.29
Kerry Kittles	54	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	10	-26	16.7	14.0	2.77	15.4	15.0	0.40
Jason Kidd	67	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	4	-14	15.5	15.7	-0.15	14.6	16.8	-2.20

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	72	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-7	20	15.1	15.7	-0.66	15.7	15.2	0.48
Jermaine O'Neal	65	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-7	20	15.2	15.3	-0.18	16.6	13.3	3.23
Jonathan Bender	59	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	3	0	15.3	15.0	0.31	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Al Harrington	78	76	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	3	0	14.8	17.1	-2.29	16.0	13.7	2.29
Jalen Rose	70	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	3	0	15.0	16.0	-0.99	15.4	16.2	-0.79
Jeff Foster	30	31	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	-1	8	14.2	15.7	-1.50	15.0	15.9	-0.82
Jamaal Tinsley	34	35	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	7	-8	17.1	14.1	3.01	15.5	15.6	-0.15
Travis Best	40	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	10	-14	14.9	15.5	-0.56	14.4	16.4	-1.97
Austin Croshere	22	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	13	-20	16.8	14.7	2.02	14.7	15.9	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 79, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NJN 70, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIA 88, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%