NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	90		Excitement	8.4 [188]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +20.8%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	5.8 [81]		LVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): -24.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17	0.05	0.10	-0.02	16	62%	0.38	2	-0.22	2	0%	-0.02
Tony Massenburg	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Long	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.11	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	13	42%	0.01	1	-0.05	7	57%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	0.09	-0.01	12	42%	0.14	6	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	60%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	15	43%	-0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.21	0.21	0.01	0.20	0.00	21	57%	0.33	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	22	57%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	4	40%	-0.12	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.19	-0.19	0.05	-0.24	0.01	9	67%	0.02	1	-0.21	3	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	6	12%	-0.25	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	25.2	16.8	24.5	1.8	34.2	128.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +55.5%

MEM +2.2%

MEM +0.3%

NYK -15.9%

MEM +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NYK	NBA	MEM	NYK	NBA
this game	16.5	16.1	15.6	101.1	100.0	102.3
season	15.7	15.9		96.0	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.2		103.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.4	15.0	17.1	17.5	16.5
NYK	16.3	15.0	16.3	16.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	63	63	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.52	13	-11	24	16.9	15.5	1.32	16.4	15.1	1.32
Jason Williams	65	63	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.49	10	-8	18	17.2	14.5	2.70	16.3	15.4	0.88
Pau Gasol	79	77	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.50	9	-7	16	16.9	13.2	3.69	16.4	14.1	2.26
Shane Battier	86	85	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	-2	6	16.5	14.7	1.87	16.1	15.7	0.42
Stromile Swift	73	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.46	2	0	2	16.1	18.1	-1.94	16.1	15.9	0.16
Tony Massenburg	23	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	4	-6	16.0	16.7	-0.69	16.1	16.0	0.08
Will Solomon	0	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	2	-2	0.0	16.5	-16.47	3.0	16.2	-13.22
Brevin Knight	24	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	10	-18	14.5	17.2	-2.70	15.4	16.3	-0.88
Rodney Buford	32	31	-0.68	1.18	-1.86	-0.15	-18	20	-38	15.7	16.9	-1.22	14.9	16.7	-1.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	25	26	0.41	-0.91	1.31	0.08	11	-13	24	15.1	16.4	-1.32	15.5	16.9	-1.32
Travis Knight	32	32	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.16	4	-6	10	16.3	15.9	0.33	15.8	16.8	-0.98
Charlie Ward	25	27	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.04	2	-4	6	15.9	16.1	-0.26	15.1	17.1	-2.01
Othella Harrington	39	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	5	-12	16.5	15.7	0.84	16.4	16.5	-0.13
Marcus Camby	62	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.49	5	-7	12	15.6	17.2	-1.54	17.3	14.3	3.00
Latrell Sprewell	79	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-2	2	15.9	17.3	-1.41	16.6	14.9	1.76
Mark Jackson	63	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.48	-4	2	-6	16.1	15.9	0.26	17.1	15.1	2.01
Kurt Thomas	43	45	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.54	-6	4	-10	16.1	16.0	0.14	15.8	17.2	-1.45
Allan Houston	72	72	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.49	-15	13	-28	16.6	13.9	2.68	16.6	15.9	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.3,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.47,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 99, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.33,0.05,0	91.0%
CHH 78, TOR 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.42,0	90.5%
BOS 92, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.02,0	89.5%