NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	78		Excitement	7.6 [308]		MVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): +15.2%
Toronto Raptors	77		Comeback	4.9 [289]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -40.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.3,-0.19,-0.02	-0.09	0.06	-0.00	14	47%	0.16	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.04
P.J. Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	17	47%	0.05	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Lee Nailon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	16	49%	-0.01	5	-0.16	3	67%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	19	66%	0.27	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	15	52%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	7	29%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	0.00	4	20%	-0.12	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.41	-0.41	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	11	37%	-0.33	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	29.1	23.4	26.6	2.6	34.0	142.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +62.5%

CHH +3.4%

TOR -9.2%

TOR -12.6%

CHH +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	TOR	NBA	CHH	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	18.0	15.6	90.7	89.5	102.3
season	15.9	16.2		102.2	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		100.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	12.6	14.2	16.5	19.5	15.5
TOR	16.7	17.9	19.5	18.4	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	40	42	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.69	13	-12	25	15.2	15.7	-0.54	18.1	17.9	0.23
George Lynch	55	55	1.01	-0.51	1.51	0.71	10	-9	19	15.3	15.8	-0.53	18.8	16.7	2.05
Jamal Mashburn	66	66	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.55	5	-4	9	15.7	14.8	0.80	18.5	16.5	1.92
Baron Davis	77	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.53	3	-2	5	15.6	14.6	1.02	18.1	17.6	0.44
Stacey Augmon	33	33	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.55	1	0	1	16.5	14.8	1.61	17.5	18.4	-0.92
Bryce Drew	6	6	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	-1	3	11.8	15.7	-3.90	18.2	18.0	0.15
P.J. Brown	51	52	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.18	-1	2	-3	14.9	16.3	-1.34	17.9	18.2	-0.30
Elden Campbell	61	59	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	-0.18	-13	14	-27	15.4	15.7	-0.36	17.6	18.9	-1.21
Lee Nailon	41	39	-0.73	1.23	-1.97	-0.29	-15	16	-31	16.1	14.9	1.16	17.2	18.7	-1.50

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	22	21	0.55	-1.05	1.59	0.22	11	-12	23	18.6	17.8	0.76	18.2	14.6	3.61
Chris Childs	44	42	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-6	11	18.2	17.8	0.37	16.5	14.5	2.07
Mamadou N'diaye	13	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	3	-7	17.9	18.0	-0.12	13.0	15.9	-2.94
Dell Curry	38	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.39	5	-6	11	17.9	18.1	-0.18	16.2	14.9	1.26
Eric Montross	42	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	8	-17	18.0	18.1	-0.14	14.6	16.3	-1.68
Morris Peterson	77	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.42	1	-2	3	18.4	14.8	3.62	15.6	14.2	1.39
Antonio Davis	80	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-2	3	18.0	18.2	-0.15	15.7	11.8	3.90
Keon Clark	54	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	4	-9	17.6	18.7	-1.06	14.6	17.0	-2.36
Alvin Williams	60	60	-1.06	0.56	-1.62	-0.77	-10	9	-19	17.7	18.8	-1.07	14.7	17.2	-2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.63,0.57,0.42,0	92.1%
MEM 90, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.3,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.47,0.17,0	90.5%
BOS 87, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.51,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.27,0	90.4%