NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	9.0 [106]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (BOS): +16.0%
New York Knicks	84		Comeback	4.5 [160]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -35.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	12	58%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	68%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.09,-0.01	-0.06	0.06	0.00	10	54%	0.12	3	-0.13	8	87%	0.06
Chris Mihm	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	19%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33,-0.27	-0.16	-0.13	-0.01	22	44%	-0.16	5	-0.11	8	50%	-0.13

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.08	-0.02	19	56%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.09	0.01	12	57%	0.16	5	-0.15	6	67%	-0.07
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.09
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	7	14%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.35	-0.35	-0.10	-0.25	0.00	18	36%	-0.33	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.6	31.2	16.3	21.3	2.4	38.4	133.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +15.4%

BOS +7.7%

BOS +9.9%

BOS +16.2%

BOS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	16.4	15.7	97.8	94.4	100.5
season	14.4	15.5		99.5	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.9		100.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	14.8	18.1	15.6	15.9
NYK	16.6	15.8	15.5	18.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	64	62	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.55	11	-8	19	16.3	14.9	1.41	16.8	15.5	1.36
Paul Pierce	80	78	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-9	21	15.8	16.7	-0.82	16.7	14.5	2.25
Ricky Davis	61	62	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-6	15	14.7	18.7	-4.06	16.2	17.0	-0.82
Mark Blount	76	75	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	-2	7	16.4	13.2	3.16	16.7	14.8	1.95
Walter McCarty	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	0	3	14.4	18.0	-3.65	16.4	16.5	-0.15
Jiri Welsch	48	48	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.30	-6	9	-15	17.7	13.9	3.76	16.6	16.3	0.29
Chris Mihm	13	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	13.2	16.4	-3.16	14.8	16.7	-1.95
Brandon Hunter	27	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.05	-9	12	-21	18.9	14.6	4.30	16.1	16.6	-0.51
Marcus Banks	25	27	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.14	-8	11	-19	14.9	16.3	-1.41	15.5	16.8	-1.36

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	44	46	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.13	-4	1	-5	17.4	15.5	1.90	15.4	16.5	-1.12
Michael Sweetney	39	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.30	5	-8	13	15.7	17.0	-1.35	16.1	15.8	0.30
Shandon Anderson	45	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-4	5	15.3	17.6	-2.26	16.6	15.3	1.30
Anfernee Hardaway	38	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-2	1	17.4	15.7	1.78	14.1	17.3	-3.28
Kurt Thomas	55	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	0	-3	16.0	17.2	-1.21	16.2	15.4	0.80
Stephon Marbury	81	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-2	1	16.5	16.1	0.33	16.1	14.5	1.57
Tim Thomas	59	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	3	-9	16.6	16.0	0.64	16.0	15.8	0.26
Allan Houston	84	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.37	-6	3	-9	16.5	14.6	1.94	16.3	9.0	7.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.51,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 92, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.02,0	91.6%
UTA 100, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.84,0.42,0	91.6%
MEM 76, BKN 72	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.38,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.67,0.47,0	90.8%