NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	7.9 [259]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +23.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	84		Comeback	7.3 [152]		LVP	Andre Miller (LAC): -36.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11	-0.04	0.11	-0.04	8	37%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	20	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Vin Baker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Grant Long	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Shammond Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	29	49%	0.02	5	-0.20	13	77%	0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.12	0.01	16	74%	0.29	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	13	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.20	-0.16	-0.02	12	21%	-0.10	5	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.10	-0.27	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	4	-0.34	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.7	28.3	15.8	24.0	2.7	37.6	137.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -12.6%

BOS +13.8%

LAC -1.5%

BOS +48.0%

BOS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.5	94.8	88.4	101.6
season	15.6	15.4		99.3	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.3	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	16.7	14.1	14.6	15.2
LAC	13.4	15.2	16.6	14.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Bremer	38	39	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.41	15	-7	22	14.5	15.6	-1.12	14.3	15.1	-0.86
Walter McCarty	63	62	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-8	24	14.6	16.4	-1.77	14.4	15.5	-1.07
Antoine Walker	91	90	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-5	18	15.5	11.2	4.31	14.9	12.2	2.73
Paul Pierce	90	88	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	0	8	14.8	20.4	-5.63	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Eric Williams	73	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	7	-6	15.6	14.0	1.66	14.8	14.7	0.18
Grant Long	30	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	6	-4	13.4	16.0	-2.61	14.2	15.0	-0.82
Shammond Williams	18	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	11	-14	18.8	14.4	4.39	15.4	14.6	0.74
Vin Baker	34	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	16	-24	16.4	14.6	1.77	15.5	14.4	1.07
Tony Delk	48	45	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.20	-4	12	-16	15.2	15.2	-0.08	15.1	14.5	0.57

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	34	32	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.24	4	-12	16	13.3	15.6	-2.33	16.1	14.8	1.32
Marko Jaric	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-7	6	13.9	14.9	-0.99	15.1	15.2	-0.10
Keyon Dooling	13	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-7	6	15.3	14.7	0.60	15.6	15.1	0.43
Eric Piatkowski	23	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-5	2	15.5	14.6	0.91	15.9	15.0	0.96
Chris Wilcox	33	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-2	-4	14.4	15.0	-0.61	14.3	15.7	-1.35
Cherokee Parks	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-7	6	15.4	13.6	1.78	15.7	14.3	1.35
Lamar Odom	58	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-3	-2	15.2	14.2	0.98	15.5	14.8	0.68
Andre Miller	82	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-1	-6	14.7	15.3	-0.60	15.1	15.6	-0.43
Elton Brand	93	94	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	0	-8	14.7	19.0	-4.30	15.4	10.3	5.03
Corey Maggette	69	71	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.48	-12	4	-16	14.8	14.7	0.19	14.1	18.1	-3.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.51,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.27,0	91.6%
CHA 94, TOR 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.27,0	91.1%
IND 80, CHI 76	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.81,0.66,0.33,0.26,0	90.6%