NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	8.9 [119]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +24.8%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	18.0 [53]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (UTA): -23.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,0.1,0.25	0.03	0.22	0.01	9	64%	0.27	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.01	15	73%	0.17	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
John Starks	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.00	8	94%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	16	50%	0.11	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	5	17%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	-0.01	17	39%	-0.12	3	-0.12	7	57%	-0.05

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.1,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.13	0.00	8	94%	0.37	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	7	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Victor Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.00	9	64%	0.13	2	-0.19	4	75%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07	-0.07	0.08	-0.13	0.02	13	71%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	1	75%	-0.06	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.09
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	16	53%	0.00	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	6	21%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	24.6	15.6	28.2	2.0	37.2	131.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +20.1%

DET -23.1%

UTA +31.6%

UTA +22.7%

DET -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.6	109.9	107.8	102.3
season	16.1	15.7		102.9	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.1		99.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.5	15.5	17.6	16.3	16.2
DET	17.2	15.1	15.9	14.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	53	51	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.57	8	-5	13	15.3	17.6	-2.25	14.6	16.8	-2.19
Andrei Kirilenko	84	81	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.47	6	-3	9	16.2	17.1	-0.98	15.8	14.0	1.75
Jarron Collins	82	78	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-3	9	16.1	17.8	-1.70	16.0	13.0	2.97
John Stockton	65	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-3	9	15.7	17.7	-2.03	15.3	16.3	-0.98
Donyell Marshall	69	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	5	-7	16.5	15.4	1.10	15.2	16.8	-1.57
Bryon Russell	45	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.07	1	2	-1	16.7	15.8	0.97	16.2	14.9	1.35
Rusty LaRue	26	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	6	-9	17.7	15.7	2.03	16.3	15.3	0.98
DeShawn Stevenson	13	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	4	-5	15.2	16.4	-1.18	17.1	15.3	1.75
Scott Padgett	18	19	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.06	-6	9	-15	18.6	15.7	2.95	14.4	15.9	-1.47

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	33	31	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-7	11	14.9	15.9	-1.01	16.4	16.2	0.17
Victor Alexander	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-2	1	11.2	16.0	-4.75	20.5	15.8	4.67
Michael Curry	46	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-2	1	16.0	15.2	0.77	16.6	15.9	0.68
Chucky Atkins	31	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-3	3	15.8	15.5	0.30	16.9	15.9	1.07
Clifford Robinson	78	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-4	5	15.7	14.7	0.96	16.6	13.1	3.53
Ben Wallace	83	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-1	-1	15.9	12.0	3.88	15.9	20.4	-4.54
Jon Barry	44	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-1	-1	15.2	16.0	-0.77	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Damon Jones	60	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	0	-3	15.4	15.9	-0.53	15.9	16.9	-1.07
Jerry Stackhouse	67	69	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.59	-11	8	-19	16.0	14.5	1.48	15.7	18.0	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.84,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.51,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.27,0	91.6%
MEM 76, BKN 72	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.38,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.67,0.47,0	91.4%
DAL 94, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.77,0.42,0	90.4%