NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	7.4 [320]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +23.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	5.1 [296]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): -31.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.13,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.14	0.01	16	68%	0.29	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Gary Grant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	4	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.01	11	71%	0.14	3	-0.08	13	100%	0.10
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	78%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Isaiah Rider	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	20	54%	0.06	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.03
Kelvin Cato	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.05	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05	-0.11	0.04	-0.03	4	42%	0.02	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.03
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	10	40%	-0.02	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.02	16	62%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	17	53%	0.13	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
James Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	15	47%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	0.05	9	64%	0.05	3	-0.18	4	75%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.15	-0.16	0.00	13	36%	-0.25	2	-0.06	10	50%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	26.1	15.8	27.7	2.0	36.0	134.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.8%

POR +19.1%

LAC -10.2%

POR +5.3%

POR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.6	107.6	104.4	102.5
season	15.9	15.5		101.9	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		109.2	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	16.4	16.3	15.1	15.7
LAC	15.8	14.2	15.7	17.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	61	60	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.58	15	-11	26	14.8	17.4	-2.65	16.3	14.9	1.43
Damon Stoudamire	76	75	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.50	14	-10	24	14.9	19.3	-4.42	15.1	19.1	-4.02
Rasheed Wallace	77	78	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.41	13	-9	22	15.7	15.7	-0.00	16.7	10.4	6.33
Brian Grant	83	82	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	-4	12	15.6	15.9	-0.25	15.9	15.3	0.53
Isaiah Rider	83	82	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	-2	8	15.8	14.0	1.84	16.4	10.3	6.08
Kelvin Cato	13	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	7	-10	17.2	15.4	1.83	14.3	16.0	-1.70
Jermaine O'Neal	23	22	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.01	-10	14	-24	17.4	15.1	2.36	12.1	17.0	-4.91
Gary Grant	22	22	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.09	-11	15	-26	16.3	15.5	0.86	16.1	15.7	0.37
Walt Williams	22	22	-0.51	1.01	-1.53	-0.16	-12	16	-28	16.8	15.3	1.46	15.5	15.9	-0.41

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	28	29	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-10	16	13.2	17.0	-3.81	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Maurice Taylor	53	53	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.25	11	-15	26	15.8	15.8	0.09	16.8	14.1	2.71
Charles Smith	20	19	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.15	6	-10	16	18.0	15.2	2.80	18.9	14.8	4.07
James Collins	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-2	0	13.1	16.2	-3.14	17.2	15.4	1.83
Lorenzen Wright	54	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	0	-4	15.8	15.8	0.05	15.9	15.2	0.70
Stojko Vrankovic	34	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-3	2	16.0	15.7	0.35	16.8	15.0	1.85
James Robinson	59	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	4	-12	15.6	16.2	-0.53	14.3	18.2	-3.92
Lamond Murray	74	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	1	-6	16.0	14.9	1.14	15.4	16.9	-1.59
Rodney Rogers	56	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.19	-14	10	-24	15.6	16.2	-0.58	14.7	17.2	-2.49
Pooh Richardson	65	66	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.34	-9	5	-14	16.7	13.5	3.24	15.3	16.5	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.33,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 90, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.3,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.47,0.17,0	91.0%
UTA 99, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.2,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.27,0	90.8%
SAS 101, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.81,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.09,0	90.7%