inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 101 Excitement7.3 [324] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +24.4%
Sacramento Kings 98 Comeback4.2 [400] LVPShelden Williams (SAC): -13.5%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.32,0.23,0.16,0.25,0.240.140.09-0.012260%0.271-0.03978%-0.03
Michael Finley0.120,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.120.050.03-0.031558%0.131-0.02367%0.03
Tim Duncan0.110,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.120.020.02786%0.152-0.04887%0.02
Fabricio Oberto0.090,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.090.080.030.021081%0.233-0.131100%0.00
Ime Udoka0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.01-0.01675%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Matt Bonner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01550%-0.001-0.0400%0.00
Brent Barry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.0130%-0.041-0.0600%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.0140%-0.092-0.0400%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.011457%0.0800.00250%-0.01
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.080.080.15-0.040.031963%0.161-0.09887%0.03
Quincy Douby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.060.06-0.000.06-0.00750%0.131-0.0800%0.00
Lorenzen Wright00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.021644%0.052-0.052100%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.05-0.001057%0.012-0.048100%0.04
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.030.000.01650%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.10-0.00462%0.044-0.18540%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.02.829.415.028.02.736.4142.3
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +27.1%
SAC -8.4%
SAS +6.0%
SAS +21.4%
SAS +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSACNBASASSACNBA
this game16.215.615.4111.0108.9105.7
season16.514.9104.7105.6
opponent15.015.3108.0100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.616.516.917.016.2
SAC16.114.816.615.015.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker70710.89-0.391.270.3319-163515.618.2-2.5915.914.61.32
Ime Udoka37380.58-0.080.670.474-1515.516.6-1.1115.815.50.38
Michael Finley73700.54-0.040.590.318-51316.315.70.6616.014.11.89
Tim Duncan47490.460.040.420.344-1516.515.90.5615.815.40.38
Fabricio Oberto67670.290.210.070.31-14-516.515.41.0615.117.3-2.20
Bruce Bowen64650.210.29-0.080.094-1516.415.80.6015.516.0-0.52
Kurt Thomas56510.100.40-0.300.1003-316.415.90.4115.715.50.19
Matt Bonner12120.070.43-0.35-0.0130312.816.7-3.8818.115.22.84
Brent Barry88-0.260.76-1.020.03-1013-2316.616.20.4711.516.0-4.52
Jacque Vaughn2120-0.310.81-1.110.16-1619-3518.215.62.5914.416.0-1.57

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shelden Williams47500.03-0.530.57-0.2610-132315.615.7-0.1416.316.00.27
Quincy Douby34360.02-0.520.53-0.073-6916.415.11.3215.816.4-0.60
Anthony Johnson910-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-3315.115.7-0.5715.416.3-0.90
Lorenzen Wright43-0.14-0.360.220.04-63-916.515.60.9215.316.2-0.89
Spencer Hawes6362-0.23-0.270.04-0.17-2-1-115.416.1-0.6516.715.21.45
Francisco Garcia8484-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.41-30-315.714.71.0216.513.13.31
Mikki Moore6567-0.500.00-0.51-0.33-63-915.915.00.9215.717.5-1.83
John Salmons8485-0.530.03-0.57-0.39-52-715.517.2-1.6516.018.7-2.64
Beno Udrih6058-0.650.15-0.79-0.47-63-915.216.4-1.2216.415.80.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.81,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 100, SAS 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.09,091.5%
POR 99, LAC 950.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.33,0.05,090.7%
UTA 99, SEA 950.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.2,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.27,090.6%